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投稿时间:2026-07-13 修订日期:2026-08-18
投稿时间:2026-07-13 修订日期:2026-08-18
中文摘要: 2026年春季(3—5月)我国大部地区气温偏高,全国平均气温为12.0℃,为1961年以来历史同期第四高。全国平均降水量为166.3 mm,较常年同期偏多15.8%。从空间分布看,我国中东部地区降水呈现南北两条多雨带:北方多雨带主要位于华北南部至黄淮,南方多雨带位于西南地区中东部至江南西部。春季欧亚中高纬500 hPa高度场呈现“两脊一槽”分布,乌拉尔山至巴尔喀什湖、东北亚为正高度距平控制,贝加尔湖及以北的中西伯利亚地区为负高度距平,此环流形势有利于中西路冷空气南下影响我国。对流层低层风场上,东北亚地区受异常反气旋式环流控制,有利于西北太平洋的暖湿水汽输送至我国北方地区,并与南下的冷空气相结合,造成我国华北南部至黄淮等地春季降水明显偏多。2026年春季北大西洋三极子正位相是造成我国中东部地区北方多雨带形成的重要外强迫信号。
中文关键词: 春季气候异常,东北亚脊,北方多雨带,北大西洋三极子
Abstract:In the spring (March to May) of 2026, the temperature in most parts of China was higher than normal, with average temperature over China reaching 12.0℃, making this spring the fourth warmest since 1961. The average precipitation over China was 166.3 mm, 15.8% above normal. Spatially, precipitation in central and eastern China presented two main rainfall belts in the north and south. The northern rainfall belt was mainly located from southern North China to the Huanghuai Region, while the southern rainfall belt was from the central-eastern part of Southwest China to the western part of the Jiangnan Region. The 500 hPa geopotential height field over the middle and high latitudes of Eurasia exhibited a “two ridges and one trough” pattern. Positive height anomalies controlled the region from the Ural Mountains to Lake Balkhash and over Northeast Asia, whereas negative height anomalies were centered over Lake Baikal and the central Siberia Area to its north. This circulation pattern facilitated the southward intrusion of cold air along the central and western paths into China. In the lower-tropospheric wind field, Northeast Asia was dominated by an anomalous anticyclonic circulation, favoring the transport of warm and moist water vapor from the western North Pacific to northern China, which combined with the southward-moving cold air, led to significantly above-normal spring precipitation in the area from southern North China to the Huanghuai Region. In addition, the positive phase of the spring North Atlantic tripole served as an important external forcing signal for the formation of the northern rainy belt in the central and eastern parts of China in spring.
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基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2022YFF0801604)和国家自然科学基金项目(42475019、41975088)共同资助
引用文本:
龚振淞,支蓉,2026.2026年春季中国气候异常特征及成因分析[J].气象,52(10):1271-1279.
GONG Zhensong,ZHI Rong,2026.Characteristics and Possible Causes of the Climate Anomalies over China in Spring 2026[J].Meteor Mon,52(10):1271-1279.
龚振淞,支蓉,2026.2026年春季中国气候异常特征及成因分析[J].气象,52(10):1271-1279.
GONG Zhensong,ZHI Rong,2026.Characteristics and Possible Causes of the Climate Anomalies over China in Spring 2026[J].Meteor Mon,52(10):1271-1279.
