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投稿时间:2025-05-16 修订日期:2026-04-16
投稿时间:2025-05-16 修订日期:2026-04-16
中文摘要: 为分析IAP-LACS三参数云微物理方案对浙江海雾模拟的影响,选取了WRF模式中两种双参数云微物理方案(Morrison05和Thompson08)作为对比,针对2021年4月浙江沿海的一次高浓度、大范围、高影响的海雾过程开展数值模拟和对比分析,并采用Stoelinga-Warner(SW99)算法和美国国家海洋和大气管理局预报系统实验室FSL算法进行能见度诊断。结果表明,三种方案均能够模拟出本次海雾过程的发生,但是在海雾强度和范围等方面存在差异,IAP-LACS方案对海雾分布范围与强度的模拟效果最优,TS评分最高,FSL算法在海雾范围的模拟优于SW99算法,但在强度模拟方面不如SW99算法。IAP-LACS方案可更好地模拟出舟山群岛和台州—温州沿海的低层云水含量大值区域,并对4月1日22:00(北京时,下同)至2日00:00三山大闸沿海云水含量的量级与增长过程模拟更优,IAP-LACS方案对低层云水含量模拟的改进是提高本次海雾预报效果的关键。相较于其他两种方案,IAP-LACS方案具有可输出云滴数浓度的优势,基于云滴数浓度和云水含量的能见度诊断方案,其模拟结果在海雾范围和强度上均与实况更为接近。
Abstract:To analyze the impact of the three-moment cloud microphysics scheme IAP-LACS on the simulation of sea fog along the coast of Zhejiang Province, this paper selects two two-moment cloud microphysics schemes (Morrison05 and Thompson08) from the WRF model for comparison. A high-concentration, wide-range, and high-impact sea fog event along the coast of Zhejiang in April 2021 is simulated and analyzed by these schemes. Moreover, Stoelinga-Warner (SW99) algorithm and NOAA/FSL algorithm are used to conduct visibility diagnosis. The results indicate that the three schemes can all simulate the occurrence of this sea fog event, but differences remain in terms of fog intensity and spatial extent. The IAP-LACS scheme performs best in simulating both the spatial distribution and intensity of the fog, achieving the highest TS score. The FSL algorithm outperforms the SW99 algorithm in diagnosing the spatial extent of the fog but is less accurate in representing its intensity. The IAP-LACS scheme can more accurately simulate the large-value areas of low-level cloud water content in the Zhoushan Islands and the Taizhou-Wenzhou coastal region. It can also better capture the magnitude and increasing trend of cloud water content along the Sanshan Sluice coastal area from 22:00 BT 1 to 00:00 BT 2 April. The improvement in simulating low-level cloud water content by the IAP-LACS scheme is a key factor in enhancing the forecast accuracy of this sea fog event. Compared to the other two schemes, the IAP-LACS scheme has the advantage of providing cloud droplet number concentration output. The output of visibility diagnostic scheme based on both cloud droplet number concentration and cloud water content results is closer to observations in terms of fog extent and intensity.
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基金项目:宁波市公益性科技计划项目(2022S181)、宁波市重点研发计划暨“揭榜挂帅”项目(2023Z139)、宁波市气象局重点项目(NBQX2024002A)、浙江省“尖兵”“领雁”研发攻关计划项目(2024C03256)和宁波市气象台院士工作站共同资助
| 作者 | 单位 |
| 周炳君 | 宁波市气象局,宁波 315012 |
| 孙继明 | 中国科学院大气物理研究所,北京 100029 |
| 钱燕珍 | 宁波市气象局,宁波 315012 |
| 邓玮 | 中国科学院大气物理研究所,北京 100029 |
| 王健捷 | 宁波市鄞州区气象局,宁波 315012 |
| 徐迪锋 | 宁波市气象局,宁波 315012 |
引用文本:
周炳君,孙继明,钱燕珍,邓玮,王健捷,徐迪锋,2026.三参数云微物理方案对浙江沿海一次海雾过程的数值试验研究[J].气象,52(8):959-973.
ZHOU Bingjun,SUN Jiming,QIAN Yanzhen,DENG Wei,WANG Jianjie,XU Difeng,2026.Numerical Experiment of a Sea Fog Event Along the Coast of Zhejiang Province Using Three-Moment Cloud Microphysics Scheme[J].Meteor Mon,52(8):959-973.
周炳君,孙继明,钱燕珍,邓玮,王健捷,徐迪锋,2026.三参数云微物理方案对浙江沿海一次海雾过程的数值试验研究[J].气象,52(8):959-973.
ZHOU Bingjun,SUN Jiming,QIAN Yanzhen,DENG Wei,WANG Jianjie,XU Difeng,2026.Numerical Experiment of a Sea Fog Event Along the Coast of Zhejiang Province Using Three-Moment Cloud Microphysics Scheme[J].Meteor Mon,52(8):959-973.
