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投稿时间:2025-03-18 修订日期:2026-02-12
投稿时间:2025-03-18 修订日期:2026-02-12
中文摘要: 2021年12月17日(简称1217过程)和24—26日(简称1225过程)山东半岛相继出现两次渤海海效应降雪,其中1225过程冷空气更强、持续时间更长,但降雪强度和总降雪量不及1217过程。利用海上锚定浮标站、S波段多普勒天气雷达、常规高空探空和地面自动气象站观测资料及ERA5再分析资料对两次过程的热力和动力特征进行对比,结果表明:1225过程气温差(海面温度和850 hPa气温之差)最大为28℃,大于1217过程(24℃),但 1225过程低层冷平流呈阶段性减弱且各阶段强度均弱于1217过程,从而影响其低层热力条件发展。 1217过程冷平流中心最高发展至700~500 hPa,而1225过程仅达到875~750 hPa,逆温层在冷平流中心上方发展,影响逆温层下条件不稳定层发展厚度,从而影响浅对流云垂直发展厚度,最终影响降雪强度。 1225过程降雪第二阶段渤海及上游地区主导风向偏西分量较大,因而低层暖舌、中尺度切变线和强降雪回波带纬向分量偏大,且主体位于海上,导致山东半岛降雪不明显。冷平流是影响海效应降雪热力结构的关键物理因子,其通过诱生低层暖舌间接制约中尺度切变线发生和发展,抬升和组织降雪回波对降雪动力结构产生影响。预报中需动态分析冷平流阶段性、三维空间结构及低层强度演变,具体应关注海气温差、边界层绝对水汽含量、逆温层高度及条件不稳定层厚度和主导风向等,研判低层暖舌和切变线位置、走向和强度等中尺度特征。
Abstract:On 17 and during 24-26 December 2021, Shandong Peninsula experienced two BohaiSea sea-effect snowfall events. The cold air intensity was stronger and snowfall duration was longer during the 24-26 process than that on 17, but the total snowfall amount was less and intensity of snowfall was weaker. In this paper, thermodynamic and dynamical characteristics are analyzed and compared based on the data of moored buoy station, S-band Doppler weather radar, conventional sounding, hourly snowfall observation from ground automatic meteorological stations and ERA5 reanalysis data. The results are as follows. In 24-26 process, air-sea temperature difference between sea surface and 850 hPa was 28℃, exceeding that on 17 (24℃). However, the snowfall process in 24-26 displayed an intermittent weakening of low-level cold advection, with advection intensities consistently weaker than on 17. This weaker thermal advection impacted the development of low-level thermodynamic conditions. On 17, the intense core of cold advection extended vertically to 700-500 hPa, whereas during the snowfall from 24 to 26, it was confined to 875-750 hPa. Consequently, the inversion layer developed upward above the cold advection center and influenced the depth of conditionally unstable layer beneath the inversion layer, which limited the vertical extent of shallow convective clouds and ultimately diminished snowfall intensity. During the second snowfall phase from 24 to 26, steering wind direction over the Bohai Sea and its upstream regions had a larger westerly component. Thus, the low-level warm tongue, mesoscale shear line and heavy snowfall echo band all displayed larger zonal component and positioned predominantly offshore, resulting in inconspicuous snowfall over the Shandong Peninsula. Cold advection constituted a primary physical driver modulating the thermal structure of sea-effect snowfall. It indirectly controlled the initiation and evolution of mesoscale shear lines by inducing a low-level warm tongue, thereby providing dynamical lifting and organi-zational mechanism over snowfall echo structures and ultimately shaping the dynamical structure of snowfall. When forecasting such snowfall, it is essential to make an integrated dynamic analysis of cold advection developmental stages and its three-dimensional spatial structure and intensity evolution on low-level. To be specific, the air-sea temperature difference, absolute moisture content within the boundary layer, inversion layer height, thickness of the conditionally unstable layer and steering wind direction should be considered more. Diagnosing mesoscale characteristics such as the position, orientation and intensity of low-level warm tongue and shear line is also imperative.
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基金项目:中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室开放课题(2024LASW-B27)、中国气象局雷电重点开放实验室开放课题(2024KELL-B010)、山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2022MD095、ZR2025LQX001)和山东省气象局重点项目(2023sdqxz10、2025sdqxz01)共同资助
| 作者 | 单位 |
| 刘畅 | 山东省气象防灾减灾重点实验室,济南 250031 山东省气象台,济南 250031 |
| 杨成芳 | 山东省气象台,济南 250031 |
| 黄艇 | 大连市气象台,大连116001 |
| 梅婵娟 | 山东省威海市气象局,威海 264200 |
引用文本:
刘畅,杨成芳,黄艇,梅婵娟,2026.山东半岛两次渤海海效应降雪热力和动力特征对比[J].气象,52(8):974-985.
LIU Chang,YANG Chengfang,HUANG Ting,MEI Chanjuan,2026.Comparison of Thermodynamic and Dynamic Characteristics of Two Bohai Sea Sea-Effect Snowfall Events over the Shandong Peninsula[J].Meteor Mon,52(8):974-985.
刘畅,杨成芳,黄艇,梅婵娟,2026.山东半岛两次渤海海效应降雪热力和动力特征对比[J].气象,52(8):974-985.
LIU Chang,YANG Chengfang,HUANG Ting,MEI Chanjuan,2026.Comparison of Thermodynamic and Dynamic Characteristics of Two Bohai Sea Sea-Effect Snowfall Events over the Shandong Peninsula[J].Meteor Mon,52(8):974-985.
