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气象:2025,51(12):1621-1634
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2023年中国致灾台风时空特征及防灾减灾措施
李霁杭,陈佩燕,汪洋,余晖,万日金,白莉娜,陆逸,鲁小琴
(中国气象局上海台风研究所,上海 200030; 中国气象局台风数值预报重点实验室,上海 200030; 应急管理部国家减灾中心,北京 100124; 上海亚太台风研究中心,上海 201306)
Typhoon-Induced Disasters in China in 2023: Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Measures
LI Jihang,CHEN Peiyan,WANG Yang,YU Hui,WAN Rijin,BAI Lina,LU Yi,LU Xiaoqin
(Shanghai Typhoon Institute, CMA, Shanghai 200030; Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Tropical Cyclone, CMA, Shanghai 200030; National Disaster Reduction Center of China, Beijing 100124; Asia-Pacific Typhoon Collaborative Research Center, Shanghai 201306)
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投稿时间:2025-03-11    修订日期:2025-11-10
中文摘要: 2023年西北太平洋台风活动呈现“频次少而强度强”的特征,6个致灾台风影响中国且秋季灾情突出。受厄尔尼诺转型期叠加北太平洋经向模正位相暖海温异常环流驱动,台风引发的小时降水量极值刷新1984—2022年纪录,但风速影响与历史均值持平。灾害损失方面,全年共造成死亡失踪12人,倒塌房屋0.7万间,农作物受灾面积34.76 万hm2,造成的直接经济损失达474.9亿元,占国内生产总值的0.04%,各项灾情指标均显著低于1984—2022年均值。台风综合灾情指标历史百分位值较风雨综合影响指标系统性低26.1个百分点,这一结果主要源于防灾减灾体系的有效性——气象部门精准预判路径与暴雨落区,以及各级应急管理部门高效协同,通过灾前风险管控、应急联动响应等综合措施,显著降低了灾害损失。
Abstract:In 2023, tropical cyclone activity over the Northwest Pacific had the characteristics of lower frequency but higher intensity. Six damaging tropical cyclones or typhoons impacted China, and typhoon disasters exhibited a concentrated manifestation during the autumn. Driven by the transition phase of El Nino superimposed on anomalously warm sea surface temperature and associated atmospheric circulation anomalies in the North Pacific, typhoons brought record-breaking hourly precipitation extremums unseen in 1984-2022 in China, while their wind speed impacts were generally comparable to historical averages. Regarding disaster losses, these typhoons collectively resulted in 12 fatalities/missing persons, 7000 collapsed houses, an affected crop area of 34.76×104 hm2, and direct economic losses amounting to 47.49 billion yuan. All disaster loss metrics were significantly lower than the averages of 1984-2022. A pronounced discrepancy emerged when comparing standardized disaster impact indices. The percentile ranking of the Comprehensive Typhoon Disaster Impact Index was, on average, 26.1 percentage points lower than that of the Integrated Precipitation and Wind Impact Index. This significant contrast primarily stems from the effectiveness of the disaster prevention and mitigation system. Meteorological departments provided crucial support for risk preparedness through accurate forecasts for typhoon tracks and torrential rain bands. Furthermore, efficient coordination among emergency management agencies at all levels, which was achieved by comprehensive measures such as pre-disaster risk management and emergency interagency response, played a pivotal role in significantly reducing disaster losses.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金气象联合基金项目(U2142206)、上海市科技计划(23DZ1204701)、中国气象局上海台风研究所基本科研业务费专项基金项目(2022JB01、2023JB05、2024JB04)和上海台风研究基金项目(TFJJ202102)共同资助
引用文本:
李霁杭,陈佩燕,汪洋,余晖,万日金,白莉娜,陆逸,鲁小琴,2025.2023年中国致灾台风时空特征及防灾减灾措施[J].气象,51(12):1621-1634.
LI Jihang,CHEN Peiyan,WANG Yang,YU Hui,WAN Rijin,BAI Lina,LU Yi,LU Xiaoqin,2025.Typhoon-Induced Disasters in China in 2023: Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Measures[J].Meteor Mon,51(12):1621-1634.