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气象:2025,51(11):1353-1366
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西亚陆面热力异常的成因及气候效应研究进展
陈海山,杨静秋,宋艺迪
(南京信息工程大学气候系统预测与变化应对全国重点实验室/气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心/气象灾害教育部重点实验室,南京 210044; 重庆市气候中心,重庆 401147; 河南省气候中心,郑州 450003)
Research Progress on Causes and Climatic Effects of Land Surface Thermal Anomalies in West Asia
CHEN Haishan,YANG Jingqiu,SONG Yidi
(State Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management (CPRM)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044; Chongqing Climate Center, Chongqing 401147; Henan Climate Center, Zhengzhou 450003)
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投稿时间:2025-08-11    修订日期:2025-10-12
中文摘要: 全球变暖背景下,西亚地区作为陆地增暖的热点区域引起了广泛关注。观测表明,西亚陆面温度不仅存在显著的增暖趋势,还存在明显的年代际变化和较大的年际变率。关注西亚陆面热力异常现象及其成因和气候效应,对应对气候变化具有重要的现实意义。本文回顾了近年来围绕西亚陆面热力异常开展的研究工作,从西亚热力异常的观测事实出发,综述了引起西亚热力异常的大气环流变异和外强迫信号,以及西亚热力异常对局地气候、印度季风、关键大尺度环流系统和大气遥相关模态以及中国气候的影响。然而,西亚地区的地形状况和陆面热力时空变化十分复杂,关于其热力异常的主导成因、局地陆气相互作用的机理和热力异常对不同时间尺度大气环流的影响机制仍有待深入研究,进而从陆面热力异常的视角加深对全球和区域气候变化的认识,为气候预测提供更坚实的理论依据。
Abstract:Under the background of global warming, West Asia has emerged as a prominent hotspot of land surface warming. Observational records reveal significant long-term warming trends in land surface temperature (LST) over this region, accompanied by notable interdecadal variation and substantial interannual variability. Understanding the basic features, drivers and climatic effects of land surface thermal anomalies in West Asia is of great practical significance for addressing climate change chanllenges. This article reviews the recent studies on land surface thermal anomalies in West Asia. Beginning from observational evidence, the article examines the associated atmospheric circulation variations and external forcings, and then further explores the impacts of these thermal anomalies on regional climate, Indian monsoon and climate, large-scale circulation systems and atmospheric teleconnection patterns, and on climate anomalies in China as well. Nevertheless, the complex topography and high spatiotemporal heterogeneity of land surface thermal conditions in West Asia necessitate further investigation. Critical research gaps include identifying the dominant causes of LST anomalies, and the mechanisms of local land-atmosphere interactions. Advancing the understanding of global and regional climate change through the lens of land surface thermal anomalies can strengthen the scientific basis for reliable climate prediction.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点项目(42130609)资助
引用文本:
陈海山,杨静秋,宋艺迪,2025.西亚陆面热力异常的成因及气候效应研究进展[J].气象,51(11):1353-1366.
CHEN Haishan,YANG Jingqiu,SONG Yidi,2025.Research Progress on Causes and Climatic Effects of Land Surface Thermal Anomalies in West Asia[J].Meteor Mon,51(11):1353-1366.