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中文摘要: 使用1981～1990年历史资料，对形成长沙盛夏高温的天气系统进行了普查，找出了若干重要因子，对其统计了气候概率，在此基础上形成了长沙高温概率预报方法。经过1996年的试用和1997年的回代检验，效果较满意。
中文关键词: 高温天气，概率预报，统计分析，副高脊线
Abstract:The weather system caused high tempreature in midsummer at Changsha City was investigated by using the historical data in 198～ 1990. Some important factors were sellected and their climatic probabilities were statistically analysed. The probability forecast method of high temperature at Changsha City was presented. The method was of satisfactory effect through the experimental use and test in 1996 and 1997.
keywords: high temperature,probability forecast,statistical analysis ,ridge line of subtropical high
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引用文本：
冯树常,封娟兰,吴礼庆,1998.长沙市盛夏高温概率预报方法[J].气象,24(7):50-54.
,1998.The Probability Forecast of High Temperature in Midsummer at Changsha City[J].Meteor Mon,24(7):50-54.
冯树常,封娟兰,吴礼庆,1998.长沙市盛夏高温概率预报方法[J].气象,24(7):50-54.
,1998.The Probability Forecast of High Temperature in Midsummer at Changsha City[J].Meteor Mon,24(7):50-54.