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投稿时间:2025-10-25 修订日期:2026-05-27
投稿时间:2025-10-25 修订日期:2026-05-27
中文摘要: 本文利用08时至次日08时(北京时,下同)24 h地面降水资料,针对北京2016—2023年以来共计83个暴雨日,根据500 hPa位势高度场,将环流形势分为六类:蒙古低涡低槽型、 副热带高压与西风槽型、河套低涡型、东北冷涡型、热带气旋(台风)型、西风槽与台风结合型。发现河套低涡型和热带气旋(台风)型容易出现大范围特大暴雨,东北冷涡型以局地暴雨为主,很少出现大范围暴雨。根据北京站925、850、700、500、200 hPa观测资料的统计分析,发现暴雨时段各层比湿显著高于非暴雨时段。进一步分析表明,在六类暴雨过程中,热带气旋(台风)型和河套低涡型的比湿值最大,这两类暴雨的降水强度与范围也最大。结合1 h降水资料,将高空观测时间(08时、20时)前后1 h降水量≥10 mm定义为暴雨、0.1~9.9 mm定义为小雨以及无降水三种情况,分别统计各层比湿发现,暴雨时段各层比湿最大,其次是小雨时段,最小的是无雨时段。结合急流分析了8个方向各层风对应的比湿特征,发现风向为90°~225°有急流时比湿最大,风向在270°~315°有急流时比湿最小。本研究弥补了以往暴雨过程研究多关注700 hPa以下层次特别是850 hPa比湿特征而对高层分析欠缺的不足,发现500 hPa高度场的比湿增大对暴雨预报具有显著的指示作用。
中文关键词: 暴雨,分类,比湿特征
Abstract:Based on the 24 h surface precipitation observation data from 08:00 BT to 08:00 BT of the next day and upper-air sounding data at 08:00 BT and 20:00 BT during 2016-2023 as well as ERA5 reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), this paper identifies a total of 83 torrential rain days in Beijing during the study period. On this basis, Beijing torrential rain events are classified according to the synoptic situations at 500 hPa, and a statistical analysis is conducted on the specific humidity characteristics at 925 hPa, 850 hPa, 700 hPa, 500 hPa and 200 hPa during the torrential rain days. The results are as follows. The torrential rain events in Beijing are divided into six types: torrential rain induced by Mongolian low vortex and trough type, subtropical high and westerly trough type, Hetao low-vortex type, northeast cold vortex type, tropical cyclone (typhoon) type, and westerly trough and typhoon type. The Hetao low-vortex type and tropical cyclone (typhoon) type tend to produce more extensive extreme torrential rains, while the northeast cold vortex type is dominated by localized torrential rain. In terms of specific humidity, it is markedly higher at all atmospheric levels during torrential rain periods than that during non-torrential rain periods. Among the six types of torrential rain events, tropical cyclone (typhoon) type and Hetao low-vortex type feature the highest specific humidity, which corresponds to the strongest precipitation intensity and the largest rainfall coverage of these two categories. Furthermore, based on hourly precipitation data, the precipitation conditions within one hour before and after the upper-air observation time (08:00 BT and 20:00 BT) are categorized into three grades: torrential rain (≥10 mm), light rain (0.1-9.9 mm) and no precipitation. The specific humidity is the highest at all levels during torrential rain period, followed by that in light rain period, and the lowest specific humidity is found in no precipitation period. In addition, the specific humidity of torrential rain events corresponding to winds from eight directions at different levels is statistically analyzed, and the results indicate that the specific humidity reaches its maximum when the wind direction ranges from 90° to 225° with jet streams, and drops to its minimum when the wind direction is between 270° and 315° accompanied by jet streams. Overall, this study has not only analyzed the specific humidity characteristics below 700 hPa during torrential rain events, but more specially found that the increase in specific humidity at 500 hPa can serve as a significant predictor for torrential rain forecasting.
文章编号: 中图分类号: 文献标志码:
基金项目:国家重点研发计划 (2022YFC3002904)资助
| 作者 | 单位 |
| 黄小玉 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 李月安 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 薛峰 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 孟宏欣 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 欧小锋 | 湖南省气象科学研究所,长沙 410118 |
| 傅承浩 | 湖南省气象局,长沙 410118 |
| 何锡汶 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 姚莉 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
引用文本:
黄小玉,李月安,薛峰,孟宏欣,欧小锋,傅承浩,何锡汶,姚莉,2026.北京暴雨过程的高空比湿统计特征分析[J].气象,52(9):1033-1050.
HUANG Xiaoyu,LI Yue’an,XUE Feng,MENG Hongxin,OU Xiaofeng,FU Chenghao,HE Xiwen,YAO Li,2026.Statistical Characteristics of Upper-Air Specific Humidity During Torrential Rain Events in Beijing[J].Meteor Mon,52(9):1033-1050.
黄小玉,李月安,薛峰,孟宏欣,欧小锋,傅承浩,何锡汶,姚莉,2026.北京暴雨过程的高空比湿统计特征分析[J].气象,52(9):1033-1050.
HUANG Xiaoyu,LI Yue’an,XUE Feng,MENG Hongxin,OU Xiaofeng,FU Chenghao,HE Xiwen,YAO Li,2026.Statistical Characteristics of Upper-Air Specific Humidity During Torrential Rain Events in Beijing[J].Meteor Mon,52(9):1033-1050.
