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气象:2026,52(6):726-741
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2024年中国龙卷时空分布和典型案例分析
张泽宇,白兰强,蔡康龙,黄舒婷,黄先香,杨磊,徐纵横,王秀明,张涛,李彩玲,陈柏纬
(佛山市龙卷风研究中心/中国气象局龙卷风重点开放实验室/粤港澳大湾区气象研究院,广东 佛山 528000; 辽宁省气象灾害监测预警中心,沈阳 110166; 上海市七宝第二中学,上海 201101; 中国气象局气象干部培训学院,北京 100081; 国家气象中心,北京 100081; 香港天文台,香港 999077)
Spatio-Temporal Distribution and Case Analysis of the Tornado Events in China in 2024
ZHANG Zeyu,BAI Lanqiang,CAI Kanglong,HUANG Shuting,HUANG Xianxiang,YANG Lei,XU Zongheng,WANG Xiuming,ZHANG Tao,LI Cailing,CHEN Pakwai
(Foshan Tornado Research Center, CMA Tornado Key Laboratory, Guangdong-Hongkong-Macao Greater Bay Area Academy of Meteorological Research, Guangdong Foshan 528000; Liaoning Meteorological Disaster Monitoring and Early Warning Center, Shenyang 110166 ; Shanghai Qibao No.2 Middle School, Shanghai 201101; CMA Training Centre, Beijing 100081; National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081; Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong 999077)
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投稿时间:2025-03-17    修订日期:2026-05-07
中文摘要: 通过结合多源资料和实地强风灾害调查等信息进行综合研判,形成了2024年中国龙卷个例记录,并总结了龙卷活动的基本特征。尽管受限于气象设备观测能力以及公众报料具有一定随机性等客观因素影响,当前龙卷记录数量可能存在一定程度的低估,但在全年仍共记录到78个发生于陆地的龙卷(以下简称龙卷)以及40个完全发生于水面的龙卷(以下简称水龙卷) ,显示出该年龙卷活动较为活跃。这些龙卷主要分布于东北、京津冀、黄淮及珠三角地区, 多发于6—9月(其中7月最为频发),日变化特征表现为午后时段高发。共对51个龙卷通过现场灾情调查等方式开展了强度定级估计,其中EF0级12个、EF1级26个、EF2级9个、EF3级4个,整体以中等及以下强度为主。水龙卷主要分布在华南沿海及渤海湾地区,多发于8月,日变化上在06:00前后出现一个明显峰值。龙卷群发特征显著,共发生4次群发性过程,群发性龙卷个数占陆地龙卷总数的44%。其中,7月5日在高空槽影响下的一次强对流过程中山东共生成13个龙卷,使其成为当年龙卷发生次数最多的省份。在2023年冬季强厄尔尼诺事件背景下,春季华南的大气对流有效位能明显高于常年同期。在此有利热力环境下,广东当年约67%的龙卷发生在3月底至4月底,呈现明显的早春高发集中特征。此外,在南昌发生的一次高影响灾害天气事件表明,对于夜间龙卷的有效确认仍存在较大挑战。
Abstract:Basic characteristics of tornadoes in China in 2024 are presented in this article based on comprehensive analysis of multi-source data and on-site ground damage surveys. Despite the potential underestimation arising from the limitation of observations and the inherently stochastic nature of public reports, a total of 78 tornadoes and 40 waterspouts are identified. The results show that these tornadoes were primarily concentrated in Northeast China, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region, the Huang-Huai Region and the Pearl River Delta in 2024. Most tornadoes occurred between June and September, with July seeing tornadoes most frequently and their diurnal peaks in the afternoon. In addition, the intensities of 51 tornadoes are classified based on damage surveys into 12 EF0, 26 EF1, 9 EF2, and 4 EF3. In terms of waterspouts, they primarily occurred along the coastal region of South China and in the Bohai Bay, and most of them occurred in August with a pronounced diurnal peak around 06:00 BT. Overall, the tornadoes in 2024 were characterized by a high frequency of mass outbreaks, with four times of mass tornado events accounting for 44% of the annual total tornadoes. Notably, there were 13 tornadoes generated associated with an upper-level trough in Shandong Province on 5 July, making the province experiencing the highest occurrence frequency of tornadoes in 2024. Under the influence of the strong 2023 winter El Nio event, convective available potential energy in South China in spring 2024 was significantly higher than the climatological average. With such a favorable thermodynamic environment, 67% of tornadoes in Guangdong Province occurred from late March to late April, reflecting an unusually high early-spring concentration. Additionally, a high-impact nocturnal severe weather event in Nanchang, Jiangxi Province, underscored the persistent difficulties in identifying and confirming nighttime tornadoes.
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基金项目:广东省基础与应用基础研究基金气象联合基金(2024A1515510006)、粤港澳大湾区气象科技协同攻关专项(GHMA2024Z03)、广东省气象局科技项目(GRMC2025M10、GRMC2024M09)和广东省气象局科技创新团队(GRMCTD202601-ZD08)共同资助
引用文本:
张泽宇,白兰强,蔡康龙,黄舒婷,黄先香,杨磊,徐纵横,王秀明,张涛,李彩玲,陈柏纬,2026.2024年中国龙卷时空分布和典型案例分析[J].气象,52(6):726-741.
ZHANG Zeyu,BAI Lanqiang,CAI Kanglong,HUANG Shuting,HUANG Xianxiang,YANG Lei,XU Zongheng,WANG Xiuming,ZHANG Tao,LI Cailing,CHEN Pakwai,2026.Spatio-Temporal Distribution and Case Analysis of the Tornado Events in China in 2024[J].Meteor Mon,52(6):726-741.