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投稿时间:2024-01-10 修订日期:2025-03-16
投稿时间:2024-01-10 修订日期:2025-03-16
中文摘要: 2020—2023年连续发生的三次La Nina事件引起了广泛关注,“三重”La Nina现象引起了全球天气和气候异常变化。利用中央气象台和美国国家飓风中心热带气旋数据集统计发现,2022年9月北太平洋活跃的热带气旋数量远超过历史同期平均水平,其中东北太平洋热带气旋数量达到了近70年来的峰值。基于再分析数据,利用热带气旋动力潜在生成指数分析发现对流层中层的垂直运动对北太平洋活跃的热带气旋数量增多有显著贡献。进一步研究发现,在La Nina事件期间,西北太平洋暖池持续增温,菲律宾附近对流活动增强,海洋性大陆附近西南风增强,迫使副热带高压北抬,西北太平洋热带气旋活跃区域对流层低层反气旋式环流转变为气旋式环流,对流层中层上升运动增强,为西北太平洋热带气旋的活动提供了有利的背景场。与此同时,La Nina事件导致东北太平洋经向温度梯度不断增加,经向哈得来环流增强,中、低纬度上升运动增强,墨西哥西部副热带高压向东移动,东北太平洋活跃的热带气旋数量增加。
中文关键词: 热带气旋,La Nina,北太平洋,大尺度环流
Abstract:The three consecutive La Nina events that occurred from 2020 to 2023 have been widespread concerned, and they also led to various global weather and climate anomalies. By statistically analyzing the tropical cyclone datasets from the National Meteorological Centre of China Meteorological Administration and the National Hurricane Center of the United States, we find that the number of tropical cyclones generated in the North Pacific in September 2022 was far more than the historical average over the same period, with the number of tropical cyclones in the Northeast Pacific reaching a new high in the past 70 years. Based on the reanalysis data and the analysis of the dynamic genesis potential index, it is found that the vertical motion in the middle troposphere made a great contribution to the increased number of tropical cyclones in the North Pacific. Further analysis suggests that during the La Nina events, the temperature of warm pool in the Northwest Pacific continued to rise, convective activity near the Philippines enhanced and the southwesterlies over maritime continent strengthened, which forced the subtropical high over the Northwest Pacific to shift northward. The emergence of low-level cyclonic circulation developing from the anticyclonic circulation in the active tropical cyclone area of the Northwest Pacific enhanced the ascending motion of the middle troposphere, which was favorable for the genesis of tropical cyclones. At the same time, the La Nina events led to continuous increase in the meridional temperature gradient over the Northeast Pacific and the meridional Hadley cell got intensified, so the upward movement over the middle and low latitudes strengthened. As the subtropical high located in western Mexico moved eastward, the number of active tropical cyclones in the Northeast Pacific increased.
文章编号: 中图分类号:P447,P466 文献标志码:
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(42205068)、国家重点研发计划(2023YFC3107092)、中国气象局气象能力提升联合研究专项(24NLTSZ004)和中国气象局上海台风研究所台风基金项目(TFJJ202407)共同资助
引用文本:
刘达,董林,向纯怡,2025.La Nina事件海温异常对2022年9月北太平洋热带气旋活动异常的影响[J].气象,51(5):618-627.
LIU Da,DONG Lin,XIANG Chunyi,2025.The Impact of La Nina Related Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on the Abnormal Activities of Tropical Cyclones over the North Pacific in September 2022[J].Meteor Mon,51(5):618-627.
刘达,董林,向纯怡,2025.La Nina事件海温异常对2022年9月北太平洋热带气旋活动异常的影响[J].气象,51(5):618-627.
LIU Da,DONG Lin,XIANG Chunyi,2025.The Impact of La Nina Related Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on the Abnormal Activities of Tropical Cyclones over the North Pacific in September 2022[J].Meteor Mon,51(5):618-627.
