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投稿时间:2023-12-17 修订日期:2024-11-26
投稿时间:2023-12-17 修订日期:2024-11-26
中文摘要: 使用高分辨率的中尺度天气数值预报系统CMA MESO,在微物理方案中增加冰雹微物理过程,对山东一次对流云降水过程进行了数值模拟。通过对比分析,研究冰雹微物理影响对流云降水过程的机制和该模式对雹云降水过程的预报能力。结果显示,CMA MESO模式能够较好地模拟这次对流降水过程,与观测相比,模式结果中的飑线生命周期与实况相当,降水分布及量级与实况接近。模拟区域平均液水、冰水路径,控制组大于含冰雹的试验组,在对流发展时,试验组对流核心区垂直速度略有增强,其余时刻有所下降。当冰雹产生时,由于冰雹的下落速度强于其他水凝物,在下落过程中融化吸热试验组强于控制组,抑制了对流的发展。增加冰雹会影响对流降水,试验组的中雨[1~10 mm·(24 h)-1]面积占总降水面积比例减少,而大雨及以上[>10 mm·(24 h)-1]面积占总降水面积比例稍有增加。就降水量而言,增加冰雹后,试验组的中小量级降水强度无明显变化,而大雨及以上量级降水的强度增大。
中文关键词: CMA-MESO,冰雹,云微物理方案,对流云降水
Abstract:This study employs the high-resolution operational model CMA-MESO to simulate a convective cloud precipitation process in Shandong Province by using a double-moment microphysical scheme with/without hail. The mechanism of hail microphysical effect on convective cloud precipitation and the predictive ability of this model in forecasting hail cloud precipitation are comparatively analyzed. The results show that the CMA-MESO model can simulate this convective precipitation process well. Compared with observations, the squall line life cycle in the model results is similar to the observation, and the distribution and magnitude of precipitation are close to the observation, too. The average liquid water and ice water path of the control group (without hail) in the simulated area is larger than that of the experimental group (including hail). The rising speed of the convective core area in the experimental group slightly increases during convective development but decreases at other times. When hail occurs, the melting and heat absorption in the experimental group is stronger than in the control group. This might be due to the stronger falling speed of hail compared to that of other water condensates, which suppresses the development of convection during the falling process of hail. In addition, increasing the hail amount can affect convective precipitation. The proportion of moderate rain [1-10 mm·(24 h)-1] area to the total precipita-tion area in the experimental group decreases, while the proportion of heavy rain and above [>10 mm·(24 h)-1] area to the total precipitation area slightly increases. In terms of precipitation amount, with the increased hail, there is no significant change in the intensity of medium-to-light precipitation, but the intensity of heavy rain and above increases.
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基金项目:全国暴雨研究开放基金项目(BYKJ2024Z09)、国家重点研发计划(2022YFC3004102)、中国气象局高分辨率区域环境数值预报团队(CMA2023QN07)共同资助
作者 | 单位 |
李喆 | 中国气象局地球系统数值预报中心,北京 100081 |
陈小敏 | 重庆气象局,重庆 401147 |
刘奇俊 | 中国气象局地球系统数值预报中心,北京 100081 |
马占山 | 中国气象局地球系统数值预报中心,北京 100081 |
江源 | 中国气象局地球系统数值预报中心,北京 100081 |
黄丽萍 | 中国气象局地球系统数值预报中心,北京 100081 |
引用文本:
李喆,陈小敏,刘奇俊,马占山,江源,黄丽萍,2025.冰雹微物理过程影响对流云降水的数值模拟个例研究[J].气象,51(2):182-190.
LI Zhe,CHEN Xiaomin,LIU Qijun,MA Zhanshan,JIANG Yuan,HUANG Liping,2025.Numerical Simulation of Convective Cloud Precipitation Affected by Hail Microphysical Processess: A Case Study[J].Meteor Mon,51(2):182-190.
李喆,陈小敏,刘奇俊,马占山,江源,黄丽萍,2025.冰雹微物理过程影响对流云降水的数值模拟个例研究[J].气象,51(2):182-190.
LI Zhe,CHEN Xiaomin,LIU Qijun,MA Zhanshan,JIANG Yuan,HUANG Liping,2025.Numerical Simulation of Convective Cloud Precipitation Affected by Hail Microphysical Processess: A Case Study[J].Meteor Mon,51(2):182-190.
