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气象:2017,43(4):495-500
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2016年秋季中国气候特征及其可能成因
(国家气候中心,北京 100081)
Features of Climatic Anomalies in China During the Fall of 2016 and the Possible Causes
(National Climate Centre, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2017-02-01    修订日期:2017-03-25
中文摘要: 2016年秋季,全国平均气温较常年同期偏高,降水异常偏多,创1961年以来历史同期之最,尤其是110°E以东地区,近一半台站偏多50%以上,这主要受秋季海温和大气环流异常的影响。在赤道中东太平洋冷海温发展的秋季,西太平洋副热带高压往往偏强偏西偏北,自副热带到日本海附近容易出现异常反气旋式环流,有利于水汽向我国30°N以北地区输送,再加上秋季前期东北冷涡活动及中后期贝加尔湖地区低槽维持,冷暖空气交汇,使得北方地区降水偏多。而赤道西太平洋及暖池区海温偏高,对流活跃,台风活动频繁,给华南到江淮一带带来了异常多的降水。
Abstract:During the autumn of 2016, accompanied by higher surface air temperature, the national average of precipitation for China was much more than normal, ranked as the first since 1961. Particularly in the region to east of 110°E, the rainfall was 50% more for near half of the weather stations. These anomalies were closely associated with the air sea background in this season. When cold tongue developed in the equatorial middle and eastern Pacific in autumn, the western Pacific subtropical high would be stronger, stretching more westward and northward. Thus, more water vapor was transported to the north of China, coupled with the cold air activities carried by the northeast cold vortexes in early autumn and persistent trough near Baikal Lake later, giving rise to excessive rainfall. In addition, higher sea surface temperature in the equatorial western Pacific and warm pool intensified convections and increased typhoon activities, leading to more precipitation in east areas from South China to Yangtze Huaihe River Valley.
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基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2013CB430203)、公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201406024)、国家科技支撑计划项目(2015BAC03B04)和中国气象局核心业务发展专项(CMAHX20160503)共同资助
引用文本:
竺夏英,宋文玲,2017.2016年秋季中国气候特征及其可能成因[J].气象,43(4):495-500.
ZHU Xiaying,SONG Wenling,2017.Features of Climatic Anomalies in China During the Fall of 2016 and the Possible Causes[J].Meteor Mon,43(4):495-500.