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投稿时间:2014-08-13 修订日期:2015-06-05
投稿时间:2014-08-13 修订日期:2015-06-05
中文摘要: 利用NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料和多种加密观测资料,对2013年初夏云南省一次典型冷锋切变型暴雨天气过程进行诊断和中尺度分析,结果表明:青藏高原和川西高原西北气流引导冷空气和切变线南下影响云南省,地面冷锋与切变线位置基本一致,冷暖空气交汇于切变线和冷锋附近,产生强降水。天气尺度系统的有效合理配置及相互作用,为中尺度对流系统的发展提供了有利的环流背景。CAPE高能区和等Δθse(500-800)线密集区的分布与对流系统的发生、发展有一定对应关系。暴雨发生的局地性和突发性等中小尺度特征与地面中尺度辐合系统密切相关。地面锋面及叠加在其上的加密地面风场辐合区的位置和移动可以作为短时强降水短临预报的重要参考依据。地面强降水强度和落区与对流云团的TBB等值线梯度大小以及梯度大值区的位置相关。地闪频数的发生发展,可以作为对流云团发生发展的判据之一。受多方面因素影响,低纬高原不同暴雨点的地闪频数峰值出现时间与强降水峰值时间的关系复杂。大风区、第二类γ中尺度辐合区的存在和“列车效应”是造成局地短时强降水的直接原因。边界层急流为此次强降水过程提供了重要的动力强迫和水汽输送。
Abstract:Based on NCEP/NCAR analysis data (1°×1°, 4 times a day) and various dense observation data, a typical shear and cold front type rainstorm process in Yunnan Province was diagnosed and its mesoscale characteristics were analyzed. The results show that the northwest air flow leads cold air and shear line to move south, location of surface cold front is consistent with shear line, warm air and cold air converge near shear line and cold front, leading to heavy rainfalls. Efficient and reasonable configuration of synoptic scale systems and their interaction provide the background for mesoscale convective systems. The distributions of high CAPE area and dense isoline area of Δθse (500-800) correspond to the convective systems. Mesoscale characteristics of the local and sudden rainstorm are closely related to surface mesosacle convergence systems. The location and movement of surface cold front and the overlaid intensive wind field convergence area could be used as important reference for the imminent forecast of short time severe precipitation. The intensity and location of rainfall are related to gradient of TBB isolines and the location of the large value zone of the gradient. The occurrence and development of Cloud to Ground lightning could be one of criteria indicating occurrence and development of convective cloud cluster. There is a complex relationship between the time of lightning frequency peak value and the time of rainstorm peak value at different rainstorm sites in low latitude plateau because of various factors. The existence of the gale area, the second type meso γ scale convergence area and “train effect” are the direct causes for local heavy rainfall. Boundary layer jet plays an important role in dynamic trigger and vapor transport in this process.
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基金项目:云南省气象局预报员专项项目(YB201412)、国家海洋局海洋 大气化学与全球变化重点实验室开放基金课题(GCMAC1307)、云南省气象局科研项目(TQ201505)和云南省科技惠民计划(2014RA002)共同资助
作者 | 单位 |
周 泓 | 云南省玉溪市气象局,玉溪 653100 |
杨若文 | 国家海洋局海洋 大气化学与全球变化重点实验室,厦门 361005 |
钟爱华 | 云南省大理州气象局,大理 671000 |
尤 红 | 云南省玉溪市气象局,玉溪 653100 |
金少华 | 云南省玉溪市气象局,玉溪 653100 |
引用文本:
周 泓,杨若文,钟爱华,尤 红,金少华,2015.云南省一次切变冷锋型暴雨过程的中尺度对流系统分析[J].气象,41(8):953-963.
ZHOU Hong,YANG Ruowen,ZHONG Aihua,YOU Hong,JIN Shaohua,2015.Analysis on Mesoscale Convective System During a Shear and Cold Front Type Rainstorm Process in Yunnan Province[J].Meteor Mon,41(8):953-963.
周 泓,杨若文,钟爱华,尤 红,金少华,2015.云南省一次切变冷锋型暴雨过程的中尺度对流系统分析[J].气象,41(8):953-963.
ZHOU Hong,YANG Ruowen,ZHONG Aihua,YOU Hong,JIN Shaohua,2015.Analysis on Mesoscale Convective System During a Shear and Cold Front Type Rainstorm Process in Yunnan Province[J].Meteor Mon,41(8):953-963.