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气象:2011,37(4):503-507
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五种干旱指标在安徽省应用研究
(安徽省气候中心, 合肥 230031)
Study on the Application of Five Drought Indexes in Anhui Province
(Anhui Climate Center, Hefei 230031)
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投稿时间:2010-01-01    修订日期:2010-05-03
中文摘要: 运用安徽省78个代表站1961—2008年逐日气温和降水资料,采用累积频率法对五种干旱指标的阈值进行修正,用修正后干旱指标来分析安徽省干旱的年际变化、季节演变及空间分布等特征。结果表明:五种干旱指标按照干旱过程计算得到历年总干旱日数的演变趋势基本一致,干旱日数较多的年份与安徽省历史典型大旱年记录非常吻合;Z指数和SPI指数无明显季节变化趋势,而Pa,MI和CI三种指标季节变化趋势明显且基本一致,安徽省秋旱最多,夏旱次之,冬、春旱相对较少;Z指数和SPI指数无明显的空间分布特征,Pa,MI和三种指标的空间分布基本一致,呈现纬向空间分布,干旱频率自北向南递减;对于安徽干旱监测业务来说,五种干旱指标中CI指数为最优。
Abstract:Based on the daily temperature and precipitation data at 78 stations of Anhui Province during 1961-2008, this paper adopts a cumulative frequency method to correct the threshold of five drought indexes, and then uses the corrected indexes to analyze the drought features of the interannual variability, seasonal evolution and spatial distribution etc. in Anhui Province. The results show that the changing trends of the sum of drought days calculated in terms of drought process are basically consistent; the years with many drought days are in accordance with the typical drought years in history of Anhui Province; the seasonal changes of Z and SPI indexes are not obvious, but those of Pa, MI and CI indexes are not only obvious but also consistent; the drought in autumn ranks first, in summer second and in winter and spring least; the spatial distributions of Z and SPI indexes are not obvious, but those of Pa, MI and CI indexes are consistent and in zonal patterns; the frequency of drought descends from north to south. As to the drought monitoring in Anhui Province, the CI index is the optimum among the five drought indexes.
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基金项目:安徽省气象局2009年业务建设类项目“安徽省干旱灾害风险区划研究”和“安徽省极端天气气候事件指标体系研究及业务化应用”共同资助
引用文本:
谢五三,田红,2011.五种干旱指标在安徽省应用研究[J].气象,37(4):503-507.
XIE Wusan,TIAN Hong,2011.Study on the Application of Five Drought Indexes in Anhui Province[J].Meteor Mon,37(4):503-507.