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投稿时间：2009-11-26 修订日期：2010-01-05
投稿时间：2009-11-26 修订日期：2010-01-05
中文摘要: 回顾了我国短期气候监测预测业务发展技术历程，总结了业务的现状和主要进展，根据经济社会发展对气候监测预测服务的需求，分析了气候监测预测业务水平不高和业务能力不能满足服务需求的问题。提出了建立涵盖从延伸期（15到30天）、月、季、年、年际和年代际的时间尺度的无缝隙业务的发展目标和重点任务。
中文关键词: 气候, 预测业务, 进展
Abstract:The history of the short range climate monitoring and prediction operation is reviewed in the paper. The operation feature and main advances are summarized. Based on the needs from economic and social development, the shortage of the prediction skill and operation ability to service need is analyzed. The seamless operation frame covering from the extended range (15-30 days), month, season, year, interannual to decadal timescales is presented as the aim for future operation.
keywords: climate, prediction operation, advances
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基金项目:
| Author Name | Affiliation |
| XIAO Ziniu | National Climate Center, Beijing 10081 |
引用文本：
肖子牛,2010.我国短期气候监测预测业务进展[J].气象,36(7):21-25.
XIAO Ziniu,2010.Advances of the Short Range Climate Monitoring and Prediction in China[J].Meteor Mon,36(7):21-25.
肖子牛,2010.我国短期气候监测预测业务进展[J].气象,36(7):21-25.
XIAO Ziniu,2010.Advances of the Short Range Climate Monitoring and Prediction in China[J].Meteor Mon,36(7):21-25.