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气象:2010,36(2):87-92
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基于GIS的河南省洪涝灾害风险评估与区划研究
(1.河南省气象科学研究所, 郑州 450003;2. 中国气象局农业气象保障与应用技术重点开放实验室, 郑州 450003)
Assessment and Zonation of Flood Disaster Risk in Henan Province Based on GIS
(1.Institute of Meteorological Sciences of Henan Province, Zhengzhou 450003;2. Key Laboratory of Agrometeorological Safeguard and Applied Technique, CMA, Zh engzhou 450003)
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投稿时间:2009-05-14    修订日期:2009-07-22
中文摘要: 在分析洪灾形成的各主要因子的基础上,提出了基于地 理信息系统(GIS)的洪灾风险评估指标模型。在对指标体系赋予权重的基础上结合GIS进行洪涝灾 害风险评估和区划分析,结合河南省具体情况,以降雨、地形和区域社会经济易损性为主要 指标,得出河南省洪灾风险综合区划图,既有赋予权重后的准确性又有GIS区划图的一目了 然,具有一定的理论和实践意义。从所得到的洪涝灾害风险区划图可以看出,信阳、驻马店 、周口大部分地区由于降水较多和社会易损性影响度较大,发生洪涝的风险最大,焦作、郑州 、开封和安阳、濮阳的部分地区,由于处于黄河流域发生洪涝的可能也较大,其他地区发生洪 涝可能性不大。
Abstract:Flood risk can, in general terms, be defined as probability time conse quence. It consists of flood hazard analysis, vulnerability analysis and damage evaluation. At present, there are many studies on the flood disaster risk assess ment, which is mainly by constructing evaluation system or regional torrent risk zonation based on GIS, but few researches are by using the combination. The GIS has been chosen to quantitatively represent the influencing fact ors, spatialize the data into the uniform grid system, and transfer all the data items into the effect degrees on the probability of flooding, and based on cons tructing evaluation system and combining GIS, the flood risk assessment and regi onal torrent risk zonation are analyzed. Finally, a categorical model for flood risk zonation has been put forward. The approach has been applied to the Henan P rovince flood disaster risk zonation. The accuracy of evaluation system by givin g weight and the significance of regionalization map are provided. The case stud y shows that the GIS based category model is effective in flood risk zonation. Therefore the paper has a certain theoretical and practical significance. The re sults of zonation show that the possibility of flood disaster risk is the bigges t in the three urban districts of Xinyang, Zhumadian and Zhoukou because the ind exes of rainfall on flooding and vulnerability of socio economic properties are relatively high. Because of the higher influence indexes of river density in Ji aozuo, Kaifeng, Zhengzhou, Anyang and Puyang in the reaches of the Yellow River, the flood disaster risk in these areas is higher. However occurrence of floods in other areas is very few.
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基金项目:河南省气象局气象科学技术研究项目(Z200704)“河南省洪涝灾害监测评估技术研 究”资助
引用文本:
李军玲,刘忠阳,邹春辉,2010.基于GIS的河南省洪涝灾害风险评估与区划研究[J].气象,36(2):87-92.
LI Junling,LIU Zhongyang,ZOU Chunhui,2010.Assessment and Zonation of Flood Disaster Risk in Henan Province Based on GIS[J].Meteor Mon,36(2):87-92.