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投稿时间:2008-09-08 修订日期:2008-12-05
投稿时间:2008-09-08 修订日期:2008-12-05
中文摘要: 近年来,内蒙古自治区建立了6个沙尘暴监测站,对沙尘天气进行了连续、定量观测,在预
报业务工作中可以得到器测能见度、PM10、TSP等定量数据,为沙尘暴的定量分析和
预报提供了基础条件。选取了2004—2007年间内蒙古地区10次较强沙尘暴天气过程,利用内
蒙古自治区的6个沙尘暴监测站器测资料,结合常规观测资料进行了分析。分析表明:器测
数据具有连续、稳定、定量的优势;但器测数据与现行沙尘天气业务标准存在很大差异,需
要新的分级标准。在现有数据条件下,初步确定了器测能见度、PM10的沙尘天气分级
标准;讨论了沙尘暴形成的定量条件和机制,以沙尘综合指数、摩擦速度等为预报因子建立
了器测能见度、PM10的沙尘暴定量预报方程。该预报方法在2008年的业务试用中预报
效果较好。
Abstract:In recent years, the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region has established 6 sand sto
rm inspection stations. A series of quantitative data, such as the instrument m
easured visibility, PM10, TSP was obtained from the continuously quantitat
ive observation in the sand dust weather. It provides the basic requirement for
the sand storm quantitative analysis and forecast. Ten strong sand storm process
es in Inner Mongolian during 2004-2007 are chosen, and the instrument
measured data of 6 sand storm inspection stations combining with the observati
ons are analyzed. The analysis indicates that the instrument measured data has
superiority i
n continuation, stability and quantification. But it is different from the view
of point of the present sand weather service standard. The new grading standard
is needed. Under the existing data condition, A sand dust weather grading standa
rds is determined initially based on the instrument measured visibilityand PM10. The quantitative condition and the mechanism of the sand
storm formation are discussed. The instrument measured visibility, PM10 sand sto
rm quantitative prognostic equation is established on the predictor of sand dust
composite index, the friction speed and so on. This sand storm forecast method
is used in quantitative sand forecast in 2008 and obtained good effect.
文章编号: 中图分类号: 文献标志码:
基金项目:科技部社会公益研究专项2005DIB3J108、国家自然科学基金0765001
作者 | 单位 |
孙永刚 | 内蒙古自治区气象台, 呼和浩特市 010051 |
孟雪峰 | 内蒙古自治区气象台, 呼和浩特市 010051 |
宋桂英 | 内蒙古自治区气象台, 呼和浩特市 010051 |
孙鑫 | 内蒙古自治区气象台, 呼和浩特市 010051 |
云静波 | 内蒙古自治区气象台, 呼和浩特市 010051 |
引用文本:
孙永刚,孟雪峰,宋桂英,孙鑫,云静波,2009.基于定量监测的沙尘暴定量预报方法[J].气象,35(3):87-93.
Sun Yonggang,Meng Xuefeng,Song Guiying,Sun Xing,Yun Jingbo,2009.Sand Storm Quantitative Forecast Method Based on Quantitative Monitoring[J].Meteor Mon,35(3):87-93.
孙永刚,孟雪峰,宋桂英,孙鑫,云静波,2009.基于定量监测的沙尘暴定量预报方法[J].气象,35(3):87-93.
Sun Yonggang,Meng Xuefeng,Song Guiying,Sun Xing,Yun Jingbo,2009.Sand Storm Quantitative Forecast Method Based on Quantitative Monitoring[J].Meteor Mon,35(3):87-93.