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气象:1997,23(11):36-38
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暴雨落区及强度的多维相似预报方法
(江苏省淮阴市气象台,223001)
The Multivariate Similarity Method for Forecasting Rainstorm Areas and Intensity
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中文摘要: 选取1970-1995年暴雨个例,采用F判别方法对产生暴雨的天气形势进行分型,选取发生暴雨的落区及强度预报指标,研制了暴雨的多维相似预报方法。在实际预报中取得了明显的效果。
Abstract:Based on the data from 1970 to 1995,the circulation patterns producing torrential rain have been divided using F distinction and the indicators for forecasting rainstorm areas and intensity have been chosen and the forecasting method for torrential rain areas and intensity is developed. The method is useful in routine operation and forecasting ability for torrential rain was improved.
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苏永清,吴士兰,王瑞,1997.暴雨落区及强度的多维相似预报方法[J].气象,23(11):36-38.
,1997.The Multivariate Similarity Method for Forecasting Rainstorm Areas and Intensity[J].Meteor Mon,23(11):36-38.