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气象:1995,21(12):32-34
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用模糊均生函数作区域夏季旱涝预测
(江苏省气象台,南京 210008)
Regional Prediction of Summer Floods/Droughts with Fuzzy Mean Generating Function Model
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中文摘要: 用模糊均生函数(FMGF)建模方案建立宁镇(南京、镇江)地区夏季旱涝趋势预测模型,其拟合效果,特别是对大旱大涝的拟合效果十分理想。1994年用该模型预测宁镇地区梅雨量,结果与实况较为接近。
Abstract:A prediction model for summer floods/droughts in the Nanjing-Zhengjiang region by fuzzy mean generating function is developed. The model is satisfactory, especially in cases of severe floods/droughts. The results of the precipitation prediction in this region during the Meiyu period in 1994 is close to actual precipitation.
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俞炳启,胡洛林,1995.用模糊均生函数作区域夏季旱涝预测[J].气象,21(12):32-34.
,1995.Regional Prediction of Summer Floods/Droughts with Fuzzy Mean Generating Function Model[J].Meteor Mon,21(12):32-34.