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中文摘要: 综合考虑了影响夏季降水异常的大气、海洋因子和降水年际变化规律,提出了一种大范围降水异常分布的统计预报方法。用1991-1994年的独立资料检验,取得满意效果。
中文关键词: 降水趋势预报,EOF分析,统计预报方法
Abstract:A skillfull scheme,with which atmospheric and oceanic elements are selected and periodic series of the rainfall are taken as predictors too.is suggested for seasonal forecast of rainfall in summer over China. The test results for an independent sample of 1991-1994 are satisfactory.
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基金项目:本工作由《长期天气预报理论和方法研究》项目资助
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引用文本:
魏凤英,张先恭,1995.一种夏季大范围降水趋势分布的预报方法[J].气象,21(12):25-28.
,1995.A Method for Seasonal Forecasting of Precipitation Anomaly Distribution in Summer over China[J].Meteor Mon,21(12):25-28.
魏凤英,张先恭,1995.一种夏季大范围降水趋势分布的预报方法[J].气象,21(12):25-28.
,1995.A Method for Seasonal Forecasting of Precipitation Anomaly Distribution in Summer over China[J].Meteor Mon,21(12):25-28.