ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P

Volume 16,Issue 5,1990 Table of Contents

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  • 1  An analysis of a heavy rain process during the first Mesoscale Rainstorm Experiment in North China
    杨克明 王维国 陈桂祥
    1990, 16(5):3-10. DOI: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.1990.05.001
    [Abstract](373) [HTML](0) [PDF 782.93 K](527)
    Abstract:
    With the intensive observations from the Joint Defence' Operational Experiment of the Mesoscale Rainstorm of North China, a, cloudburst process from 30 to 31 July, 1988 was analysed comprehensively. We discussed the weather situation of the process which initiated the cloudburst and various parameter fields, as well as the characteristics of the meso-scale weather system. In this paper, some significant results have been given.
    2  An experiment and study of the five-point finite difference scheme
    崔新强 邱崇践
    1990, 16(5):11-14. DOI: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.1990.05.002
    [Abstract](520) [HTML](0) [PDF 386.06 K](545)
    Abstract:
    In this paper, the five-point finite difference scheme is analysed. And by the uniformlly rotational velocity field along with the various initial conditions, a two-dimentional advectio'n equation is integrated numerically in a long period, an optimum five-point finite difference scheme is achieved.
    3  An application of the nonlinear robust regression to the weather forecastings
    冯耀煌
    1990, 16(5):15-19. DOI: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.1990.05.003
    [Abstract](368) [HTML](0) [PDF 398.12 K](583)
    Abstract:
    The multivariate regression model is often used in the statistical forecasts. But the forecast accuracy is influenced by both non-linearity of predictors and the non-normality of the date. The model of nonlinear robust regression is introduced in this paper, in order to improve the forecast accuracy greatly.
    4  The temporal-spatial distributions of the dry/wet conditons over North China
    王春乙 安顺清 潘亚茹 刘文泽
    1990, 16(5):20-25. DOI: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.1990.05.004
    [Abstract](474) [HTML](0) [PDF 454.29 K](574)
    Abstract:
    Here the water abnormal index given by Palmer is used to calculate Palmer index in spring over North China, which is considered as a comprehensive index of the dry and humidity conditions in spring over the regions. The method of the empirical orthogonal function was used to analyse the character of temporal-spatial distributions of the dry and humidity condition in spring, and its stability was discussed, too. It is thought that the, spatial distribution characters of the first 4 items and their. temporal evolution laws are very steady.
    5  A cotton yield prediction model of China
    王建林 赵四强
    1990, 16(5):26-29. DOI: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.1990.5.005
    [Abstract](721) [HTML](0) [PDF 431.83 K](613)
    Abstract:
    This paper gives a routine prediction model for cotton prediction of China. The main idea here is that the whole cotton production area of China would be divided into three sub-region, the Yellow River cotton production region, the Yangtze River cotton production region and the westen China cotton production region. The regional prediction model for each region and the state prediction model are established with the cotton yield difference and the meteorological elements difference between the nabouring years.

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