Number flood in the upper reaches of the Han River during the autumn flood season of the 21st century Ⅰ: Analysis of Rainwater Flood Characteristics and Large scale Circulation Anomaly
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Abstract:
To provide reference for the prediction of major floods in the upper reaches of the Han River during the autumn flood season, based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and conventional meteorological and hydrological observation data, the water and rainfall characteristics, rainfall response relationships, abnormal large-scale circulation patterns, and causes of flood precipitation of the Han River during the autumn flood season since the 21st century were studied. The research results showed that: ①The flood process in the Han River Basin during the autumn flood season in the 21st century gradually increased. The heavy rainfall center during the autumn flood season was mainly located in the southern and western parts of the upper reaches of the Han River. The frequency of precipitation on the southern bank was much higher than that on the northern bank, and in mountainous areas it was greater than in rivers and basins. The upstream was greater than the downstream; There were three centers: the area around Micang Mountain and Daba Mountain on the south side of the Han River Basin, the riverside valley above Ankang Reservoir, and the Danjiang River section at the southern foot of the outer mountain and the southwest slope of Funiu Mountain. ②The flood peak generally presents in three forms: single peak, double peak, and multi peak. It was feasible to judge single peak, multi peak, or bimodal floods based on precipitation intensity, time, and frequency. There was generally a pre discharge time of about 1-2 days from the occurrence of the strongest precipitation during the process period to the formation of floods.③The abnormally high precipitation during the autumn flood season in the upper reaches of the Han River was related to weather factors such as the 500hPa mid high latitude circulation pattern, the western Pacific subtropical high pressure, the southerly pressure high pressure and subtropical westerly jet, the plateau trough, the blocking high pressure and cold air activity, and water vapor transport. Under abnormal circulation conditions, when continuous rainy weather was combined with higher initial inflow of Danjiangkou Reservoir, flood peaks were likely to form in the upper reaches of the Han River.