ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
CN 11-2282/P
Archive > Volume 40 Issue 4 > 2014,40(4):433-439. DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2014.04.005 Prev Next
Forecast System Design and Preliminary Tests Based on Model Forecast Tendency
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Abstract:
To fully use the information of forecast products from numerical models, the errors of the products are analyzed. According to the results of the analysis, a refined forecast method is proposed and based on it a new Xinjiang refined numerical forecast system is developed. Preliminary tests are conducted and the results show that the new method has a positive effect on temperature forecasting in the area of Xinjiang. After adjustment of correction coefficients and usage of more observations at different time points, the corrected temperature is expected to be much closer to the observations. That is, the method can improve the accuracy of temperature forecasting and has operational application potential.
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