ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
The Performance Verification of the MediumRange Forecasting for T639, ECMWF and Japan Models from June to August 2010
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    Abstract:

    In order to improve the application ability to T639 model, a synoptic verification on its mediumrange forecasting(96 h leading time) during the summer of 2010 was made in comparison with the counterparts of models of ECMWF and Japan. The results show that the three models all have good performance on predicting the largescale circulation evolution and adjustment over Asian middle and high latitude areas. As a whole, ECMWF is the best at forecasting synoptic systems and elements among all models; The three models have a bigger error on prediction of the track and intensity of typhoon Chanthu except that ECMWF performs well before typhoon landing.

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History
  • Received:September 26,2010
  • Revised:October 08,2010
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