The Advances and Discussions on China Operational Typhoon Forecasting
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Abstract:
With continuous progresses and improvements in NWP and integrated observation systems, China operational tropical cyclone forecasting has made considerable progresses since the nineties of last century. Operational tropical cyclone track forecasting especially has made a significant level of progress and reached the international advanced level. By reviewing and analyzing the current situation of national and international operational tropical cyclone forecasting, the main problems, operational forecasting difficulties and urgent scientific issues to be solved in current China operational typhoon forecasting are analyzed. Then an overview on the challenge of China operational typhoon forecasting under the global climate change and the growing demand in national disaster prevention and preparedness is made, some considerations about the development of China operational typhoon forecasting in the future are given, and finally some measures for improving China operational typhoon forecasting are proposed.