ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
CN 11-2282/P
Influencing Factor Analysis on Weather Forecaster’s Application of Improved Forecast System
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Abstract:
Based on the data obtained from weather forecaster’s needs and application tracking survey with questionnaire and face to face depthinterview since 2006 to 2008, the benefits of advanced forecast techniques and improved new products, such as B08FDP products provided during Beijing 2008 Olympics period, were assessed. The three main obstacles preventing weather forecasters from truly using B08FDP products, were drawn from weather forecaster’s needs survey and fed back to weather service authority timely in 2006. Weather forecaster’s needs and application of new advanced forecast techniques were contrastively analyzed, results showed that forecasters had a more noticeably enhanced confidence in and increased satisfaction to the new advanced forecast techniques and improved products during 2008 Olympics than that in 2007. It was found that the improved socioeconomic benefits of the improvement of forecast techniques were affected by the forecaster’s skillful and optimal application of advanced forecast techniques. Therefore, it was crucially important to strengthen the training of forecasters, allowing them to be the master of new forecast techniques, and to build up their confidence in and capability of using the techniques in a conscious manner. At last, some suggestions and recommendations were given for improving the using of advanced weather forecast techniques by weather forecasters.
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