The Performance Verification of the Mediumrange Forecast for T639 and ECMWF and JAPAN Model from June to August 2008
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Abstract:
In order to better use the T639 products, some synoptic verifications about its mediumrange forecasting in 2008 summer are made in compariso n with the counterparts of ECMWF and Japan models. The results show that three mo dels have good performances in the aspect of predicting the largescale circula tion evolution and adjustment in Asian middle and high latitude area. As a whole, ECMWF model is better in forecasting most weather systems compared with the T63 9 and Japan models. Especially, T639 model has a large error in predicting path and intensity of typhoon FUNGWONG, whereas ECMWF and Japan models are relative ly accurate.