ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
Study of the Impact of Temperature Variation on the Nanjing  Main Industries Based on Cointegration Theory
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    Abstract:

    It is important to evaluate the meteorological influences to industries in the m eteorological economic filed. Cointegration theory was used to research the im pact of temperature variation on the main industries in Nanjing. First, it was p roved that there was a cointegration relationship between temperature and indu stries′ production value. Then, on the basis of cointegration regression equation and error correction mode (ECM), the longterm and shortt erm impacts of temperature variation were investigated quantitatively. At last, the result of Granger test emphasized our outcomes. It shows that the temperatur e variation really could affect the main industries′ economic s: when temperature rose, the industries′ production values would increase in the longterm, but some industries would decline in the shortterm. So, coi ntegration theory is a reasonable way to evaluate industries′ meteorological se nsitivities.

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History
  • Received:March 23,2008
  • Revised:May 06,2008
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