ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
CN 11-2282/P
Developed Model between Heatstroke and Meteorological Factors and Standard for Heatstroke Index Grades in Wuhan
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Abstract:
In order to deeply develop the meteorological prediction and climate impact asse ssment of heatstroke by heat wave, the daily heat stroke cases and meteorologi cal factors from 2003 to 2005 in Wuhan are used to choose the key factors by cor relative method. Three regressive models are set up with progressive regr ession on the basis of calculating the single-correlation coefficient of daily h eat stroke numbers and 33 meteorological factors, and the more reasonable grade standards than original model of 1990's are also built up, and a method to calcu l ate days with heatstroke event is designed. The results show that the factors co ncerned temperature are the most important, and the accumulated temperature ≥35 ℃ is selected at first. By experimental test, the results show that the forecas ting value and the real value are relatively identical.
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