ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
Research on Tropical Cyclone Fine Nowcasting System Based on Doppler Radar
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    Abstract:

    Typhoon and local rainstorm are the primary meteorological disaster in summer fl ood season in Zhejiang. The principal method is based on the primary radar infor mation in the threedimensional variation assimilation for typhoon nowcasting t echnique and research. Automatic echo identification, echotracking and precipi tation estimation are developed by researching the radar information of last yea rs and modulating the parameter for local. The crosscorrelation technique and centroid method are used for strong convection echo identification and tracking. The moving direction tendency of the mesoscale convective cloud clusters and th e realtime data of autoprecipitation station are considered. The dynamic pre cipitation is evaluated by applying the bestprobabilitywindows to get the mo st suited ZI relationship. Through the retrieved variation correction, the rainstorm nowcasting within 1 hour is made by use of linear extrapolation. Cons idering the requirement of typhoon shorttime forecast service, the system cont ains the rapid diagnostic analysis for typhoon center and mesoscale circulation pattern based on GBVTD (Groundbase Velocity Track Display method). As a workin g platform,the system can be used for disaster weather forecasting and service.

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History
  • Received:February 11,2007
  • Revised:February 22,2008
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