ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
The Applications of Stochastic Decisionmaking to Meteorological Service
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    The applications of stochastic decisionmaking to meteorological service are in troduced primarily in two cases.The first case study shows that the meaning of s tochastic decisionmaking is uncertain when the probability of high impact weat her event is uncertain. In this case, the optimistic, pessimistic, or minimum re pentant value (MRV) decisionmaking can be chosen respectively according to the risk preferences of service. The second case shows that it is a certain meaning of stochastic decisionmaking when the probability of high impact weather even t is known. In this case, the best scheme could be setup up by the maximal expec tation value (ME) to provide meteorological service. Sensitivity analysis of sto chastic decisionmaking could be transformed as a mathematic question about calculating the critical probability and figured out d irectly by using graphical method.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation
分享
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:December 27,2007
  • Revised:February 27,2008
  • Adopted:
  • Online:
  • Published:

WeChat

Mobile website