ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
Influence of Meteorological Factors on  Load Forecasting Based on the Decision Tree
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    Abstract:

    Based on the decision tree and combined with the meteorological factor s and the highest, lowest and average of electrical load, a model was establi shed to measure the influence of meteorological factors on the load. An effectiv e shortterm forecasting method was put forward to establish the forecasting mo del of dailycharacteristicload decision tree. Daily characteristic load is forecasted according to the model and the dateforecasted information such as wea ther,attributes (date, workday or weekend). The forecasted results show that the proposed method has highautomation and highaccuracy. The method applies the data of meteorological factors and load of Baoding in Hebei Province to train an d forecast,the results show that the new method can largely improve the precisi on of load forecasts.

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History
  • Received:September 29,2007
  • Revised:January 29,2008
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