ISSN 1000-0526
CN 11-2282/P
CN 11-2282/P
Archive > Volume 34 Issue 3 > 2008,34(3):106-111. DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2008.03.016 Prev Next
Influence of Meteorological Factors on Load Forecasting Based on the Decision Tree
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Abstract:
Based on the decision tree and combined with the meteorological factor s and the highest, lowest and average of electrical load, a model was establi shed to measure the influence of meteorological factors on the load. An effectiv e shortterm forecasting method was put forward to establish the forecasting mo del of dailycharacteristicload decision tree. Daily characteristic load is forecasted according to the model and the dateforecasted information such as wea ther，attributes (date, workday or weekend). The forecasted results show that the proposed method has highautomation and highaccuracy. The method applies the data of meteorological factors and load of Baoding in Hebei Province to train an d forecast，the results show that the new method can largely improve the precisi on of load forecasts.
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