Weather Forecaster and Numerical Weather Prediction
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Abstract:
The status and applications of numerical weather predictions are intro duced to weather forecasters in operational posts in a way of nonspecialist te rminology. Following a historical review with the stress on the achievements and unsolved issues in the latest decade, the merits and shortcomings of forecasts by numerical models and experiencesbased methodologies are compared. The combi nation of the superiorities of two kinds of approaches is emphasized. The impact s of technical developments of numerical weather prediction on the interpretatio n and application of model outputs, and the possible roles the forecaster may pl ay in the further development of NWP are also discussed.