Advance in Ensemble Numerical Weather Prediction

Ensemble prediction technology is a new numerical weather forecast technology, which is widely used in meteorology abroad. For the limitation of domestic computer resource, the study on ensemble prediction falls behind. Although some progress has been achieved currently, the ensemble product has not been comprehensively used in operational forecasts. As applied in weather prediction like probability forecast, ensemble prediction has been used for “targeted observation” and data assimilation. Some appropriate verifications make ensemble prediction more credible.

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