The Current State and Prospect of the Operational Weather Forecast for Tropical Cyclone and Torrential Rain
The weather forecast methods for tropical cyclone and torrential rain in routine operation in China were grouped into four categories: the weather conceptual model,the dynamic interpretation of numerical weather prediction products,the analogue method,and the application of SATEM and Radar echo data. The basic idea and brief progress for each of the methods are explained by using typical examples. Further more,the advantages and shortcomes in our operational weather forecasts are analized. The prospects of the field was also estimated based upon several well established long term plans and programmes.