A Three-Group Discriminant Model for Diagnosing El-Nino Event
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Abstract:
Based on the monthly data of five teleconnection pattern indices in Northern Hemisphere and SOI during the years of 1951 -1990,the discriminant model for diagnosing El Nino event is presented. The results of the discriminant model are figuratively indicated with a probabi lity trigonometry. By means of the model a new El Nino event has been predicted for 1991.