Economic optimum decision of Forest Fire Risk forecasting and its benefit

In this paper,the author has calculated the potential economic benefit for Forest Fire forecasting. The results show that the loss of all 165 forest farms over Liaoning Province, using the optimum decision of regression value instead of the mean value "ecision, will reduce the 78.7%, which is equivalent about 3,430,000 yuan, when the loss function is the quadratic function of forecasting errors.

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