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投稿时间:2026-07-26 修订日期:2026-08-12
投稿时间:2026-07-26 修订日期:2026-08-12
中文摘要: 2026年6月,北半球极涡呈偶极分布,主涡位于极点附近北冰洋上空,强度偏强,欧亚中高纬呈现“两槽一脊”型,西西伯利亚至新疆北部平均高压脊异常偏强;西太平洋副热带高压呈带状分布,强度偏强,位置偏西、偏北。全国平均气温为20.7℃,较常年同期偏高0.3℃;全国平均降水量为99 mm,较常年同期偏少3.7%,但华北、东北冷涡活跃,多出现对流过程,南方强降水过程频繁、落区重叠度高、局地降水极端性强。月内共出现5次暴雨过程和6次强对流天气过程,长江中下游、华南和西南地区东部等地出现区域性强降水和局地极端降水,东北、华北、黄淮地区多次出现雷暴大风和冰雹天气;简要分析了14—18日华南极端降水以及19—22日长江中下游梅雨期首轮强降水过程的环流形势演变、成因及预报难点。月内西北太平洋和南海共生成2个台风,均未登陆我国。
中文关键词: 大气环流,极端天气,暴雨,强对流
Abstract:In June 2026, the polar vortex in the Northern Hemisphere exhibited a dipole distribution with the primary vortex located over the Arctic Ocean near the pole, showing stronger-than-normal intensity. The Eurasian mid-high latitudes featured a two-trough and one-ridge circulation pattern, and the average geopotential height ridge from West Siberia to northern Xinjiang was abnormally strong. The western Pacific subtropical high was zonally distributed, with greater intensity and a more westward and northward position than normal. The national average temperature was 20.7℃, 0.3℃ higher than the normal value. The national average precipitation was 99 mm, 3.7% below the climatological average. However, cold vortices behaved actively in North China and Northeast China resulting in frequent convective activities. In southern China, heavy precipitation processes occurred frequently, with highly overlapping affected-areas and locally extreme precipitation. During this month, there were five heavy precipitation events and six severe convection events. Regions such as the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, South China, and eastern Southwest China experienced regional heavy precipitation and local extreme precipitation. Thunderstorm, gale and hail events occurred more in Northeast China, North China and the Huanghuai Region. Two typhoons were generated over the western North Pacific and the South China Sea, but neither made landfall in China. In addition, this paper briefly analyzes the evolution of circulation patterns, causes and forecasting difficulties of the extreme precipitation in South China from 14 to 18 June and the first spell of heavy precipitation in the Meiyu season over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River from 19 to 22 June.
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基金项目:中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2026J027)和国家气象中心青年基金项目(400301)共同资助
| Author Name | Affiliation |
| LIU Beiyao | National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081 |
| MA Xuekuan | National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081 |
| FU Jiaolan | National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081 |
引用文本:
刘倍峣,马学款,符娇兰,2026.2026年6月大气环流和天气分析——冷涡活跃、暴雨频发[J].气象,52(9):1153-1164.
LIU Beiyao,MA Xuekuan,FU Jiaolan,2026.Analysis of the June 2026 Atmospheric Circulation and Weather[J].Meteor Mon,52(9):1153-1164.
刘倍峣,马学款,符娇兰,2026.2026年6月大气环流和天气分析——冷涡活跃、暴雨频发[J].气象,52(9):1153-1164.
LIU Beiyao,MA Xuekuan,FU Jiaolan,2026.Analysis of the June 2026 Atmospheric Circulation and Weather[J].Meteor Mon,52(9):1153-1164.
