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投稿时间:2025-11-07 修订日期:2026-04-15
投稿时间:2025-11-07 修订日期:2026-04-15
中文摘要: 利用逐小时自动气象站、雷达等多源观测数据及ERA5再分析数据,对2025年7月23—29日北京超长区域性暴雨过程开展精细化特征及成因分析。结果表明:本次极端暴雨过程为近10年持续时间最长的暴雨过程,日降水量≥50 mm的站点数及过程日最大降水量仅次于2023年7月30日暴雨过程。本次过程具有显著的夜雨特征,小时雨强最大值集中在午夜至凌晨时段,强降水区域主要分布于燕山山脉前的平原处和迎风坡地带。本次过程主要受副热带高压(以下简称副高)和低纬热带天气系统、中高纬西风槽影响。7月23—28日位势高度距平场分析表明,副高较常年偏北,热带低压系统与异常偏北的副高外围气流叠加,形成持续偏南风气流并向北输送至北京地区,为极端降水提供了充沛水汽;水汽含量显著高于气候平均态,比湿高值区与偏南风距平叠加,加之燕山山脉地形抬升作用,显著增强了降水强度。本次过程在500 hPa以下高度均维持长时间的高湿环境,925、850、700 hPa平均比湿均超过近10年来暴雨过程的平均水平(依次分别为14.3、12.2、7.4 g·kg-1,北京探空站统计)。在白天高温高湿条件下,储存不稳定能量,夜间增强的低空急流叠加地形抬升作用,使暴雨过程呈现出明显的夜雨特征。虽然利用ERA5再分析等常规资料无法分析出26日晚极值暴雨的主要影响系统,但从雷达图上可清楚地分析出,主要的影响系统是低层辐合线与小范围的低空急流。
中文关键词: 超长极端暴雨,精细化特征,成因
Abstract:Using refined hourly meteorological observations, radar data, and other multi-source observation data, along with ERA5 reanalysis data, this paper analyzes the characteristics and causes of the ultra-long-duration regional extreme torrential rain event that occurred in Beijing from 23 to 29 July 2025. The results indicate that this event was the longest-lasting heavy precipitation event in the past decade, and the number of stations with daily precipitation ≥50 mm and the daily maximum precipitation during the event ranked the second after the extreme torrential rain event on 30 July 2023. This event also exhibited significant nocturnal rainfall characteristics, with the maximum hourly rainfall intensity concentrated in the period from midnight to early morning hours. The areas of heavy precipitation were primarily distributed over the plains in front of the Yanshan Mountains and on the windward slopes. This torrential rain event was mainly influenced by the subtropical high system, low-latitude tropical weather systems, and mid-to-high-latitude westerly troughs. The analysis of the geopotential height anomaly field from July 23 to 28 reveals that the subtropical high was positioned more northward than usual. The tropical low-pressure system overlapped with the abnormally northward-shifted peripheral airflow of the subtropical high, forming a sustained southerly airflow that was transported northward to the Beijing Region, which provided abundant moisture for the extreme precipitation. The moisture content was significantly higher than the climatological average, with areas of high specific humidity overlapping with southerly wind anomalies. Coupled with the orographic uplift effect of the Yanshan Mountains, these factors significantly enhanced precipitation intensity. A prolonged high-humidity environment was maintained below 500 hPa throughout this event, with the average specific humidity at 925 hPa (14.3 g·kg-1), 850 hPa (12.2 g·kg-1), and 700 hPa (7.4 g·kg-1) exceeding the average values recorded in torrential rain events over the past decade (based on statistics from the Beijing Sounding Station). Under the daytime conditions of high temperature and humidity, unstable energy was accumulated. At night, the enhanced low-level jet, combined with terrain lifting, contributed to the pronounced nocturnal rainfall characteristics of this torrential rain event. The major impact systems of the extreme torrential rain over the night of 26 July could not be identified with the conventional data including ERA5 reanalysis data, but the radar imagery clearly reveals that the main impact systems of the extreme torrential rain were the low-level convergence line and the small-scale low-level jet.
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基金项目:中国气象局高影响天气(专项)重点开放实验室项目(2024-G-10)、2024年湖南省重大研发专项(2024AQ2016)和中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2025J136)共同资助
引用文本:
吴珍珍,林浩,薛峰,向钢,黄小玉,毛紫怡,欧小锋,闫如柳,2026.2025年北京超长极端暴雨的精细化特征与成因分析[J].气象,52(6):686-701.
WU Zhenzhen,LIN Hao,XUE Feng,XIANG Gang,HUANG Xiaoyu,MAO Ziyi,OU Xiaofeng,YAN Ruliu,2026.Refined Characteristics and Causes of the Ultra-Long-Duration Extreme Torrential Rain in Beijing in 2025[J].Meteor Mon,52(6):686-701.
吴珍珍,林浩,薛峰,向钢,黄小玉,毛紫怡,欧小锋,闫如柳,2026.2025年北京超长极端暴雨的精细化特征与成因分析[J].气象,52(6):686-701.
WU Zhenzhen,LIN Hao,XUE Feng,XIANG Gang,HUANG Xiaoyu,MAO Ziyi,OU Xiaofeng,YAN Ruliu,2026.Refined Characteristics and Causes of the Ultra-Long-Duration Extreme Torrential Rain in Beijing in 2025[J].Meteor Mon,52(6):686-701.
