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投稿时间:2024-11-27 修订日期:2025-08-21
投稿时间:2024-11-27 修订日期:2025-08-21
中文摘要: 2024年7月5日,受高空槽和黄淮气旋共同影响,山东省出现爆发性龙卷事件,在罕有龙卷发生的菏泽市,导致了较为严重的人员伤亡和财产损失。利用现场灾情调查、互联网视频和照片、ERA5再分析数据、双偏振雷达观测等资料,详细分析了菏泽市东明县和鄄城县龙卷的发展演变过程、环境条件和中尺度特征。主要结论如下:综合评估,两地龙卷最大强度达强龙卷(相当于EF2~EF3级);其发生在黄淮气旋东北象限距中心约50 km处,具备整层水汽充沛、抬升凝结高度低、对流不稳定能量充足、强风暴相对螺旋度和强垂直风切变等有利于超级单体龙卷的环境特征,地面β中尺度辐合线和合适的冷池强度为龙卷母风暴的触发、发展以及近地面垂直涡度加强提供了有利条件。两地龙卷在同一超级单体母风暴西南—东北移动过程中先后形成,该超级单体强回波质心约为5 km,具备深厚持久的中气旋和垂直倾斜结构特征,龙卷出现在超级单体钩状回波顶端,龙卷发生时段伴随中气旋尺度缩小、气旋性涡旋增强等信号。两地龙卷雷达均探测到龙卷涡旋特征和龙卷碎片特征,最早探测到龙卷涡旋特征的时刻比龙卷发生时间分别提前了15 min和5 min,龙卷发生时段龙卷涡旋特征对应位置的相关系数迅速减小,最低值(0.46)出现时刻对应地面灾害最严重时段,可能是由水凝物粒子和强上升气流携带的大量碎片物质的混合,以及强上升气流造成的信噪比降低共同导致。龙卷消散后,相关系数低值特征仍维持了15 min以上。上述结论可为黄淮气旋龙卷监测和预警业务提供参考依据。
Abstract:A documented tornado outbreak event occurred in Shandong Province on 5 July 2024, influenced by the upper-level trough and Huang-Huai cyclone.The event notably impacted Heze City, where tornadoes are rarely reported, and caused substantial casualties and property damages. This study analyzes the development and evolution of tornadoes as well as their environmental conditions and mesoscale characteristics in Dongming and Juancheng counties of Heze City, based on disaster investigations, online video and photo evidences, ERA5 reanalysis data and dual-polarization radar observations. The main conclusions are as follows. According to the comprehensive assessment, the maximum force of the tornadoes in Dongming and Juancheng counties reached the degree of strong tornado (equivalent to level EF2-EF3). The tornados occurred at the location approximately 50 km northeast of the Huang-Huai cyclone center. The environment features conducive to the formation of supercell tornadoes included abundant water vapor, low lifting condensation level, sufficient convective instability energy, strong storm-relative helicity, and strong vertical wind shear. The surface meso-β scale convergence line and appropriate cold pool intensity provided favorable conditions for the initiation and development of the supercell tornadic storm, strengthening the near-surface vertical vorticity. Both tornadoes originated from the same southwest-northeast moving supercell, characterized by a robust echo centroid near 5 km altitude, and a persistent, deep meso- cyclone with a tilted vertical structure. The tornadoes appeared at the top of the hook echo of the supercell, and the period of tornado occurrence was accompanied by signals such as the reduction of mesocyclone scale and the enhancement of cyclonic vortex. The two radars both detected tornado vortex signature (TVS) and tornado debris signature (TDS), with the earliest detection of TVS being 15 min and 5 min ahead of the tornado occurrence time, respectively. During the process tornado, the correlation coefficient (CC) corresponding to the vortex features rapidly decreased. The lowest value (0.46) of CC appeared at the time when ground damage was most severe, which may be attributed to the mixing of hydrometeor particles and a large amount of debris carried by the strong updraft, as well as the reduction in signal-to-noise ratio caused by the intense updraft. After the tornado dissipated, the low CC value characteristic persisted for more than 15 min. These findings can enhance understanding of Huang-Huai cyclone-associated tornadoes and provide operational guidance for tornado monitoring and warning systems.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金气象联合基金项目(U2342204)、中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA2022ZD07)和中国气象局复盘总结专项项目(FPZJ2025-162)共同资助
| 作者 | 单位 |
| 曹艳察 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 郑永光 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 周晓敏 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
| 王秀明 | 中国气象局气象干部培训学院,北京 100081 |
| 孟宪贵 | 山东省气象台,济南 250031 |
| 张亚妮 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
引用文本:
曹艳察,郑永光,周晓敏,王秀明,孟宪贵,张亚妮,2026.2024年7月5日山东菏泽龙卷灾害现场调查与中尺度特征[J].气象,52(2):174-189.
CAO Yancha,ZHENG Yongguang,ZHOU Xiaomin,WANG Xiuming,MENG Xiangui,ZHANG Yani,2026.Damage Survey and Mesoscale Characteristics of the Tornadoes in Heze of Shandong Province on 5 July 2024[J].Meteor Mon,52(2):174-189.
曹艳察,郑永光,周晓敏,王秀明,孟宪贵,张亚妮,2026.2024年7月5日山东菏泽龙卷灾害现场调查与中尺度特征[J].气象,52(2):174-189.
CAO Yancha,ZHENG Yongguang,ZHOU Xiaomin,WANG Xiuming,MENG Xiangui,ZHANG Yani,2026.Damage Survey and Mesoscale Characteristics of the Tornadoes in Heze of Shandong Province on 5 July 2024[J].Meteor Mon,52(2):174-189.
