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气象:2026,52(2):146-159
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冰雹预警的差分反射率特征:以山东三次冰雹过程为例
王文青,杨慧玲,孙跃,蒋如斌,刘昭武,冯亮,肖辉
(山东省人民政府人工影响天气办公室, 济南 250031; 中国科学院大气物理研究所大气环境与极端气象全国重点实验室,云降水物理与强风暴重点实验室,北京 100029; 中国科学院大学地球与行星科学学院,北京 100049; 山东省滨州市气象局,滨州 256612)
Characteristics of Differential Reflectivity for Early Warning of Hail: Three Hail Cases in Shandong Province
WANG Wenqing,YANG Huiling,SUN Yue,JIANG Rubin,LIU Zhaowu,FENG Liang,XIAO Hui
(Shandong Weather Modification Office, Jinan 250031; State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Extreme Weather & Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation and Severe Storms, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049; Binzhou Meteorological Office of Shandong Province, Binzhou 256612)
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投稿时间:2024-12-02    修订日期:2025-08-29
中文摘要: 基于山东三次降雹个例,利用差分反射率(ZDR)和冷层组合差分反射率(CZDRC)开展雷达数据特征和冰雹预警研究。结果表明:在雷达回波面积较小时,CZDRC图中已可见降雹点附近云中出现约3 dB的ZDR柱。ZDR柱在降雹时刻前20~40 min出现,较基于45 dBz或55 dBz反射率因子阈值的指标提前10~20 min,具备提前预警冰雹的潜力。X波段双偏振相控阵雷达、S波段和C波段雷达等不同波段和扫描体制的天气雷达均能呈现强对流预警所需的ZDR柱特征。此外,CZDRC图上ZDR柱在三个个例中均紧邻且环绕降雹点,位于降雹点的对流层中层上风方向,可对降雹点预报、预警起到参考作用。
Abstract:Radar data features and hail warning are investigated through differential reflectivity (ZDR) and cold-layer composite differential reflectivity (CZDRC) on the basis of three hail cases observed in Shandong Province in recent years. The results indicate that even when the radar echo area is relatively small, a 3 dB ZDR column feature can be observed within the cloud near the hailfall spots in the CZDRC chart. The ZDR column appears 20-40 min before the first hailfall time during a hail event, which is 10-20 min earlier than the traditional 45 dBz or 55 dBz reflectivity factor threshold, indicating its potential as an early warning indicator for hail. Weather radars of different wavelengths and scanning systems, including X-band dual-polarization phased-array radar, S-band, and C-band radars, present the ZDR column feature necessary for severe convective weather warnings in both the CZDRC chart and ZDR echo area time-height plot. Additionally, the ZDR column feature on the CZDRC chart is closely situated, surrounding the hailfall spots in all three studycases. These ZDR column features are located northwest of the hailfall spots, which are in the mid-tropospheric upwind direction, and could serve as a reference for forecasting and warning of hailfall locations.
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基金项目:中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDB0760402)、中部区域人工影响天气能力建设项目研究试验(ZQC-T22254)、黔科合支撑项目(2023,一般193)和山东省气象局榜单类专项(2023SDBD09)共同资助
Author NameAffiliation
WANG Wenqing Shandong Weather Modification Office Jinan 250031 
YANG Huiling State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Extreme Weather & Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation and Severe Storms, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049 
SUN Yue State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Extreme Weather & Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation and Severe Storms, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049 
JIANG Rubin State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Extreme Weather & Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation and Severe Storms, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049 
LIU Zhaowu Binzhou Meteorological Office of Shandong Province, Binzhou 256612 
FENG Liang State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Extreme Weather & Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation and Severe Storms, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 
XIAO Hui State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Extreme Weather & Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation and Severe Storms, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049 
引用文本:
王文青,杨慧玲,孙跃,蒋如斌,刘昭武,冯亮,肖辉,2026.冰雹预警的差分反射率特征:以山东三次冰雹过程为例[J].气象,52(2):146-159.
WANG Wenqing,YANG Huiling,SUN Yue,JIANG Rubin,LIU Zhaowu,FENG Liang,XIAO Hui,2026.Characteristics of Differential Reflectivity for Early Warning of Hail: Three Hail Cases in Shandong Province[J].Meteor Mon,52(2):146-159.