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投稿时间:2024-12-08 修订日期:2025-09-16
投稿时间:2024-12-08 修订日期:2025-09-16
中文摘要: 利用站点监测、探空、FY-4B卫星、多普勒天气雷达、ERA5再分析数据等资料,对2024年第11号超强台风“摩羯”的强度变化特征及其原因进行了分析。发现“摩羯”是1981年以来登陆我国最强的秋季台风,在南海维持超强台风级达64 h,是维持超强台风级最久的南海台风,出现了三次快速增强,其中一次达到极端快速增强,12 h、24 h增强幅度均是自1981年以来最大的南海台风。强盛西南季风为台风发展提供充足水汽,稳定的副热带高压和大陆气流将陆地上的对流不稳定气团输送至台风中心附近,加强了台风环流附近的大气位势不稳定,减弱的环境垂直风切变和良好的高层出流条件均有利于台风快速增强和维持高强度。南海北部海面温度超过30℃,较常年偏高1~2℃,向大气提供了大量的潜热通量。“摩羯”快速增强时台风范围内动能增长明显,动能制造项的迅速增大是动能增长的主要因子,动能垂直和水平输送对动能增长也有重要贡献。
Abstract:Based on the station observation, sounding data, FY-4B satellite images, Doppler weather radar data and ERA5 reanalysis data, the characteristics and causes of the anomalous change in the intensity of Super Typhoon Yagi in 2024 are analyzed. It is found that Typhoon Yagi is the stongest landfalling autumn typhoon in China since 1981, and it maintained super typhoon level (SuperTY) in the South China Sea for 64 h, making it the longest-lasting super typhoon in the region. Typhoon Yagi experienced three rapid intensification (RI) processes. In one of these processes, it reached the level of extreme rapid intensification (ERI), with its 12 h and 24 h intensity increase amplitudes being the highest in the South China Sea since 1981. The robust southwestern monsoon supplied abundant moisture for the typhoon development, while the stable subtropical high and continental airflow transported convectively unstable air masses from land toward the typhoon’s core, which enhanced the atmospheric potential instability near the typhoon circulation. Meanwhile, the weakened environmental vertical wind shear and favorable upper-level outflow conditions collectively facilitated the RI and the sustained peak intensity. The sea surface temperature in the northern South China Sea exceeded 30℃, 1-2℃ above normal, providing substantial latent heat flux to the atmosphere. During Yagi’s RI, a significant increase in kinetic energy within the typhoon’s domain was observed. The primary driver of this kinetic energy growth was a sharp rise in kinetic energy production. Moreover, the vertical and horizontal kinetic energy transports also contributed a lot.
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基金项目:广东气象联合基金重点项目(2024B1515520002)、国家自然科学基金项目(42475015)和中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA2023ZD07)共同资助
| 作者 | 单位 |
| 杨国杰 | 广东省气象台,广州 510640 |
| 韩浦城 | 广东省气象台,广州 510640 |
| 程正泉 | 广东省气象台,广州 510640 |
| 龚月婷 | 广东省气象台,广州 510640 |
| 韦凯华 | 广东省气象台,广州 510640 |
| 沙天阳 | 广东省气象台,广州 510640 |
引用文本:
杨国杰,韩浦城,程正泉,龚月婷,韦凯华,沙天阳,2026.超强台风“摩羯”强度异常变化特征及成因[J].气象,52(1):16-28.
YANG Guojie,HAN Pucheng,CHENG Zhengquan,GONG Yueting,WEI Kaihua,SHA Tianyang,2026.Characteristics and Causes of the Anomalous Change in the Intensity of Super Typhoon Yagi[J].Meteor Mon,52(1):16-28.
杨国杰,韩浦城,程正泉,龚月婷,韦凯华,沙天阳,2026.超强台风“摩羯”强度异常变化特征及成因[J].气象,52(1):16-28.
YANG Guojie,HAN Pucheng,CHENG Zhengquan,GONG Yueting,WEI Kaihua,SHA Tianyang,2026.Characteristics and Causes of the Anomalous Change in the Intensity of Super Typhoon Yagi[J].Meteor Mon,52(1):16-28.
