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气象:2025,51(11):1571-1580
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2025年8月大气环流和天气分析——副高异常偏强导致江南华南降水偏少
万纬祺,张玲
(国家气象中心,北京 100081)
Analysis of the August 2025 Atmospheric Circulation and Weather
WAN Weiqi,ZHANG Ling
(National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2025-10-02    修订日期:2025-11-12
中文摘要: 2025年8月,北半球极涡呈偏心型分布,强度偏强;欧亚中高纬度环流呈“两槽一脊”型,乌拉尔山以东高压脊异常偏强;西太平洋副热带高压显著偏强、西伸并稳定控制我国中南部,导致全国平均气温(22.0℃)较常年偏高0.9℃,为1961年以来同期第四高;月内出现1次持续性高温过程,高温日数较常年偏多1.7 d,为历史同期第五多。全国平均降水量为114.5 mm,较常年同期偏多7.0%。月内共发生9次强降水过程,华南、华北及四川盆地至东北等地多次出现强降水。西北太平洋和南海共生成5个台风,其中1个(“杨柳”)登陆我国,生成和登陆数均少于常年。台风“杨柳”强度13日早晨登陆台湾岛南部前达到42 m·s-1,具有典型的登陆前明显增强特征。西太平洋副热带高压异常偏强导致江南中东部、华南东部降水量偏少5~8成,气象干旱露头发展;华北大部、西北中东部及珠三角等地降水量偏多2成至1倍。此外,月内还出现区域性干旱、强对流及风雹等灾害天气。
Abstract:In August 2025, the polar vortex in the Northern Hemisphere exhibited an eccentric distribution pattern with above-normal intensity. The mid-to-high latitude circulation over Eurasia displayed a “two-trough-one-ridge” configuration, with the high-pressure ridge east of the Ural Mountains being anomalously strong. The western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) got significantly intensified, extending westward, and stably dominated the central and southern parts of China. As a result, the national mean temperature reached 22.0℃, being 0.9℃ above the climatological normal and ranking as the fourth highest since 1961 for the same period. Moreover, one persistent high-temperature event occurred during this month, with the number of high-temperature days exceeding the climatological normal by 1.7 days, ranking as the fifth most heat days in the historical record for the same period. The national average precipitation amounted to 114.5 mm, 7.0% above normal. During this month, there were a total of nine heavy precipitation events with severe precipitation repeatedly affecting South China, North China, the region from the Sichuan Basin to Northeast China, and some other places. Five typhoons were generated in Northwest Pacific and the South China Sea, but only one (Typhoon Podul) made landfall in China, thus the formation and landfall number of typhoon were both below the climatological normals. Typhoon Podul attained a maximum sustained wind speed of 42 m·s-1 prior to its landfall in southern Taiwan Island, China, at 08:00 BT on the 13th, exhibiting a typical feature of rapid intensification just before landfall. The anomalously strong WPSH led to precipitation deficits of 50%-80% in the central and eastern regions in south of the Yangtze River (Jiangnan Region) and eastern South China, so potential meteorological drought seemed to begin and develop. However, rainfall was 20%-100% above the normal amount across most of North China, central and eastern Northwest China, and the Pearl River Delta Region. Additionally, there were also regional droughts, severe convective weather, and hailstorm disasters during the month.
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万纬祺,张玲,2025.2025年8月大气环流和天气分析——副高异常偏强导致江南华南降水偏少[J].气象,51(11):1571-1580.
WAN Weiqi,ZHANG Ling,2025.Analysis of the August 2025 Atmospheric Circulation and Weather[J].Meteor Mon,51(11):1571-1580.