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气象:2025,51(7):773-788
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雷暴大风形成机理和临近预报的研究进展
崔新艳,陈明轩,秦睿,杨璐
(北京城市气象研究院,北京 100089; 南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,南京 210044)
Research Advances in the Formation Mechanisms and Nowcasting of Thunderstorm Gales
CUI Xinyan,CHEN Mingxuan,QIN Rui,YANG Lu
(Institute of Urban Meteorology, CMA, Beijing 100089; Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044)
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投稿时间:2024-03-01    修订日期:2024-09-24
中文摘要: 雷暴大风是指强对流天气系统引发的风速≥17 m·s-1的大风,是一种产生巨大灾害的中小尺度强对流天气,了解其形成机理与对其进行精确临近预报和预警是防灾减灾的重点。文章系统性综述了雷暴大风形成机理和临近预报的国内外研究成果,内容包括发生雷暴大风的天气形势和环境特征、不同种类雷暴大风的形成机理和风暴组织形态以及雷暴大风的临近预报技术。大部分雷暴大风由超级单体、飑线和弓状回波产生,主要形成机制包括强下沉气流、阵风锋、动量传输、出流与环境风之间的水平气压梯度、中尺度涡旋的动力强迫和累加效应以及上升流对低层暖湿入流的抽吸作用等。在上述回顾基础上,针对雷暴大风形成机理和临近预报的难点、亟需解决的问题,进行了讨论。
Abstract:Thunderstorm gales refer to strong winds with a wind speed ≥17 m·s-1 caused by severe convective weather systems. It is one of mesoscale and microscale severe convective weather causing huge disasters. Understanding their formation mechanisms and conducting accurate nowcasting and early warning are the keys to disaster prevention and mitigation. This article summarizes the existing studies on the formation mechanisms and nowcasting of thunderstorm gales, including synoptic patterns, ambient characteristics, different formation mechanisms and windstorm morphologies, as well as nowcasting technology. It has been found that most thunderstorm gales are generated in supercells, squall lines, and bow echoes through strong downdraft, gust front, momentum transmission, horizontal pressure gradient between outflow and ambient wind, dynamic forcing and superimposed effect of mesoscale vortex, and pumping effect of updraft on low-level warm and moist inflow, etc. On the basis of the above review, the difficulties and much-needed issues of the formation mechanisms and nowcasting of thunderstorm gales are discussed.
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基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2022YFC3004103)、北京市科技计划课题(Z221100005222012)和中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA2022ZD07)共同资助
引用文本:
崔新艳,陈明轩,秦睿,杨璐,2025.雷暴大风形成机理和临近预报的研究进展[J].气象,51(7):773-788.
CUI Xinyan,CHEN Mingxuan,QIN Rui,YANG Lu,2025.Research Advances in the Formation Mechanisms and Nowcasting of Thunderstorm Gales[J].Meteor Mon,51(7):773-788.