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气象:2025,51(1):43-56
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弱垂直风切变下江苏下击暴流统计特征
熊希颖,王秀明,俞小鼎
(中国气象科学研究院,北京100081; 中国气象局气象干部培训学院,北京100081)
Statistical Characteristics of Downbursts Under Weak Vertical Wind Shear in Jiangsu Province
XIONG Xiying,WANG Xiuming,YU Xiaoding
(Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081; China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2023-12-06    修订日期:2024-07-05
中文摘要: 为研究弱垂直风切变环境下的下击暴流特征,基于SA型多普勒天气雷达、探空和地面(10 m)极大风资料以及静止气象卫星云图,筛选出江苏2019—2020年6—9月弱垂直风切变下381次下击暴流事件,并按尺度分为微下击暴流、宏下击暴流和下击暴流簇。统计结果表明:江苏地区6—9月64.9%的雷暴日伴随下击暴流,平均每个下击暴流日发生8次下击暴流事件;三类下击暴流占比分别为:微下击暴流21.7%、宏下击暴流47.6%、下击暴流簇30.7%,集中出现在15—16时(北京时);基于雷达径向速度,下击暴流平均持续时间为25.4 min,平均强度(辐散速度对风速差值或低仰角极大风)为22 m·s-1,仅7个下击暴流样本达到致灾大风标准(低仰角径向速度达25 m·s-1或辐散速度对差值达40 m·s-1),下击暴流引发的地面气象站观测极大风均值为15.5 m·s-1,表明其致灾性不太强;下击暴流低仰角径向速度模态以辐散速度对型为主(73.3%),但多为非对称型,仅有6.1%的下击暴流为对称的辐散速度对结构,26.7%的下击暴流表现为低仰角强风。
Abstract:To study the characteristics of downburst under weak vertical wind shear, based on the SA Doppler weather radar, sounding and surface (10 m) maximum wind data and the cloud images from stationary meteorological satellites, we selected 381 downburst events that occurred under weak vertical wind shear from June to September in 2019-2020 in Jiangsu Province and divided them into three categories according to the scales of microburst, macroburst and downburst cluster. The statistical results show that 64.9% of thunderstorm days in Jiangsu from June to September are accompanied by downbursts, with an average of 8 downburst events per downburst day. The proportions of three types of downbursts are 21.7% for microbursts, 47.6% for macrobursts and 30.7% for downburst clusters, and they all tend to occur in the time period of 15:00-16:00 BT. According to radar radial velocity, the average duration of downbursts is 25.4 min, and the average intensity (radial velocity difference of divergence couplets or extreme radial velocity at low elevation) is 22 m·s-1. Only 7 downburst samples reach the standard of disaster gale (extreme radial velocity at low elevation reaches 25 m·s-1 or radial velocity difference of divergence couplets attains 40 m·s-1). The average surface maximum wind caused by downburst observed by surface meteorological stations is 15.5 m·s-1, indicating that disaster-causing potential of downburst is not significant. The low-elevation radial velocity modes of downburst are dominated by divergence vel-ocity couplet (73.3%), but the majorities are asymmetric while only 6.1% for symmetrical divergence velocity couplet. There are 26.7% of downburst characterized by strong wind at low elevation.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(U2142203、42375018)、中国气象局短时临近预报教学科研团队项目、中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA- 2022ZD07)和中国气象局气象干部培训学院重点课题(2022CMATCZD12)共同资助
引用文本:
熊希颖,王秀明,俞小鼎,2025.弱垂直风切变下江苏下击暴流统计特征[J].气象,51(1):43-56.
XIONG Xiying,WANG Xiuming,YU Xiaoding,2025.Statistical Characteristics of Downbursts Under Weak Vertical Wind Shear in Jiangsu Province[J].Meteor Mon,51(1):43-56.