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气象:2022,48(4):418-427
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京津冀后冬极端低温与北极涛动相关性年代际减弱
车少静,王冀,李晓帆,韩世茹
(河北省气候中心,石家庄 050021;河北省气象与生态环境重点实验室,石家庄 050021;北京市气候中心,北京 100081)
Interdecadal Weakening in the Relationship Between Extreme Low Temperature and Arctic Oscillation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in Late Winter
CHE Shaojing,WANG Ji,LI Xiaofan,HAN Shiru
(Hebei Climate Centre, Shijiazhuang 050021;Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Ecological Environment of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050021;Beijing Climate Centre, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2021-09-27    修订日期:2021-12-21
中文摘要: 基于京津冀冬季逐日平均气温资料,分析了冬季及各月京津冀极端低温日数与北极涛动(AO)的关系,以及后冬二者相关性年代际变化的大气环流异常。结果表明:20世纪80年代后期开始京津冀冬季极端低温日数呈减少的趋势。冬季极端低温日数与同期AO指数相关性存在显著年代际变化,20世纪80年代后期开始迅速减弱,21世纪00年代初开始前冬增强,后冬持续偏弱。AO所对应的大气环流异常是导致后冬极端低温日数与AO相关性年代际变化的重要原因。在相关性显著时段,AO正位相时,西伯利亚高压和阿留申低压偏弱,乌拉尔山阻塞高压和东亚槽偏弱,温带急流减弱,极端低温日数偏少,负位相反之。相关性不显著时段,大气环流纬向对称性特征明显,与极地相互作用减弱。
Abstract:Based on daily temperature data in winter, the relationship between number of extreme low temperature (NELT) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in winter is analyzed, the AO-related interdecadal atmospheric circulation anomalies in late winter (February) is explored. The results show that NELT in winter in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region has been decreasing since 1961. The correlation is weakening between NELT and AO after the middle 1980s compared to that before the middle 1980s, but strengthening in early winter, and that remains weak in late winter after early 2000s. Furthermore, the interdecadal variation in the relationship between NELT and AO in late winter in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region is largely attributed to the AO-related atmospheric circulation anomalies under different interdecadal backgrounds. When significant correlation exists between NELT and AO, through impacting the Siberian high, Aleutian low, Ural blocking high and East Asian trough, a positive AO phase is associated with less frequency of extreme low temperature, and vice versa. In contrast, AO displays a more zonal symmetry structure, and the climate circulation system in mid-high latitudes is weak, which confines the influence of winter AO on NELT and leads to an insignificant late winter AO-NELT relationship.
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基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2018YFC1505604)和中国气象局气象预报业务关键技术发展专项[(YBGJXM(2020)4A)]共同资助
引用文本:
车少静,王冀,李晓帆,韩世茹,2022.京津冀后冬极端低温与北极涛动相关性年代际减弱[J].气象,48(4):418-427.
CHE Shaojing,WANG Ji,LI Xiaofan,HAN Shiru,2022.Interdecadal Weakening in the Relationship Between Extreme Low Temperature and Arctic Oscillation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in Late Winter[J].Meteor Mon,48(4):418-427.