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气象:2015,41(10):1292-1297
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2015年春季我国主要气候特征及其成因分析
(1.国家气候中心,北京 100081;2.中国气象局气候研究开放实验室,北京 100081)
Main Characteristics and Possible Causes for the Climate in China in Spring 2015
(1.National Climate Centre, Beijing 100081;2.Laboratory for Climate Studies, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2015-07-28    修订日期:2015-08-12
中文摘要: 2015年春季,全国气温普遍偏高,季节平均降水接近常年同期。季内,我国华南地区降水阶段性变化显著。前期(3—4月),华南地区降水偏少,华南前汛期入汛偏晚,入汛以后(5月5—31日),华南地区降水显著偏多。分析表明,由于西太平洋副热带高压(以下简称副高)异常偏西,不利于副高南部的暖湿气流向华南地区输送,导致华南地区前汛期入汛偏晚。入汛之后,一方面,随着索马里越赤道气流的发展,经印度洋到达中国地区的水汽通道建立,由于副高偏西偏强,占据南海地区,导致水汽输送偏北;另一方面,与前期相比,春季后期印度洋海温偏高,有利于南海地区对流层低层异常反气旋的发展以及西南水汽输送的加强,此两种因素共同导致了入汛之后华南地区降水异常偏多。
Abstract:During the spring of 2015, the air temperature over most China was above normal and the mean precipitation over China was near normal with strong intraseasonal variations in South China. In the early spring (March to April) of 2015, precipitation in South China was below normal, and after the arrival of the prime rainy season in the late spring, precipitation in the region was significantly above normal. Analysis shows that the later arrival of prime rainy season is related to the El Ni〖AKn~D〗o event, which induced the westward extension of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and prevented the water vapor from transporting to South China. After the arrival of prime rainy season, the transport passage of the water vapor to China via Indian Ocean is built up, accompanying the development of Somali cross equatorial flows, and the transportation has a northward shift resulting from the WPSH in the South China Sea. Moreover, the Indian Ocean is warmer than normal in the late spring, inducing the development of the low level anticyclonic anomaly over South China Sea and the intensification of water vapor transportation. The two elements are likely the causes for the abnormal precipitation in South China.
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基金项目:国家重大科学研究计划(2012CB955203)、国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2013CB430202)、公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201406018)和中国气象局气候研究开放课题青年基金2015年度资助项目共同资助
引用文本:
邵勰,柳艳菊,李多,王艳姣,2015.2015年春季我国主要气候特征及其成因分析[J].气象,41(10):1292-1297.
SHAO Xie,LIU Yanju,LI Duo,WANG Yanjiao,2015.Main Characteristics and Possible Causes for the Climate in China in Spring 2015[J].Meteor Mon,41(10):1292-1297.