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气象:2013,39(1):112-117
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基于GIS淹没模型的流域暴雨洪涝风险区划方法
(1.武汉区域气候中心,武汉 430074;2.中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所,武汉 430074;3.中国地质大学,武汉 430074;4.湖北省荆门市气象局,荆门 448000)
Basin Rainstorm Flood Risk Regionalization Method Based on GIS Rainstorm Flood Inundation Model
(1.Wuhan Regional Climate Centre, Wuhan 430074;2.Wuhan Institute of Heavy Rain, CMA, Wuhan 430074;3.China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074;4.Jingmen Meteorological Office of Hubei Province, Jingmen 448000)
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投稿时间:2011-10-25    修订日期:2012-07-22
中文摘要: 在求取漳河流域雨洪曲线,分析流域历史暴雨洪涝风险个例基础上,确定流域致灾临界面雨量和洪涝风险水位段。采用耿贝尔极值I型分布法求取流域不同重现期面雨量,基于GIS的暴雨洪涝淹没模型,利用D8 及曼宁公式计算不同重现期面雨量淹没范围和水深;运用灾害风险原理,制作漳河流域暴雨洪涝风险区划。同时,对湖北省钟祥市行政区域制作了风险区划图,并与实际灾情进行了比较,暴雨洪涝灾害频发区与高风险区对应较好。结果表明,该方法能够直观表达暴雨洪涝灾害的形成,也反映了流域及研究区域内的暴雨洪涝灾害风险,有较清楚的物理意义。
Abstract:Based on acquiring rainflood curve of Zhanghe River Basin and analyzing cases of historical rainstorm flood disaster risk, the disaster critical area rainfall and flood risk water levels of the river basin are obtained: The Gumbel I extreme distribution is used to calculate the area rainfall of different return period, and D8 and Manning’s formulas are also used to calculate the submerged area and depth of areal precipitation from different recurrence interval by GIS rainstorm flood inundation model. According to disaster risk theory, the rainstorm flood disaster risk regionalization of Zhanghe River Basin is done. Meantime, a plot of rainstorm flood disaster risk zoning of Zhongxiang City in Hubei Province is performed, and compared with the actual disaster situation, the flood disaster areas and high risk areas are correspondent. The results show that the method can express flood disasters intuitively, and also reflect the flood disaster risk of the basin and the study areas. It has a clear physical significance.
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基金项目:2009年公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY200906019)、2011年度湖北省气象局发展基金项目(2011Z02)、2011年现代气候业务建设试点“气象灾害风险评估业务之 流域暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估”及2012年公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201206028)共同资助
引用文本:
李兰,周月华,叶丽梅,彭涛,史瑞琴,刘旭东,王东仙,2013.基于GIS淹没模型的流域暴雨洪涝风险区划方法[J].气象,39(1):112-117.
LI Lan,ZHOU Yuehua,YE Limei,PENG Tao,SHI Ruiqin,LIU Xudong,WANG Dongxian,2013.Basin Rainstorm Flood Risk Regionalization Method Based on GIS Rainstorm Flood Inundation Model[J].Meteor Mon,39(1):112-117.