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气象:2013,39(1):88-93
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安徽省一季稻生长气候适宜性评价指标的建立与试用
(安徽省气象科学研究所,安徽省大气科学与卫星遥感重点实验室,合肥 230031)
Establishment and Application of Growing Climatic Suitability Indicator of Single Cropping Rice in Anhui Province
(Anhui Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Science and Satellite Remote Sensing, Anhui Institute of Meteorological Science, Hefei 230031)
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投稿时间:2011-12-19    修订日期:2012-03-08
中文摘要: 结合已有研究成果和一季稻的生理特征,采用模糊数学方法分别建立了安徽省分区域一季稻温度、降水和日照适宜度模型,并在此基础上建立了综合反映多因子对一季稻影响的气候适宜度模型。通过对不同时段内单要素适宜度和气候适宜度的集成,构建了分区域一季稻单要素适宜指数和气候适宜指数模型,并对两种集成方法进行了比较。基于气候适宜指数与一季稻产量的关系,建立了不同时间尺度的气候适宜性评价指标。结果表明:归一化法气候适宜指数模型优于绝对值法,气候适宜指数与产量丰歉指数具有显著相关性;气候适宜性评价指标对一季稻的产量具有较好的区分度,指标回代检验准确率较高,业务试用效果良好,可以用之评价气候条件对一季稻生长发育和产量形成的适宜程度。
Abstract:On the basis of the physiological characteristics of single cropping rice and existing research results, the suitability models in different regions about temperature, precipitation and sunshine are constructed. In order to express the synergetic effect of meteorological factors and yields, a climatic suitability model of single cropping rice is established. According to suitability of single cropping rice in different periods, suitability indicator models on different time scales are set up by two methods. Based on the relationship between climate suitability index and single cropping rice yield, climatic suitability indicators on different time scales are set up. The results indicated that the climatic suitability index constructed by the normalization method is much better than that by the absolute value method. The discrimination of climatic suitability indicators is suitable for measuring the level of single cropping rice yield. Climatic suitability indicators have high evaluation accuracy, thus it can meet the needs of operational services and can be used in evaluating the suitable level of climatic condition on rice growth and yield.
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基金项目:公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY200906022和GYHY201006027)共同资助
引用文本:
张建军,马晓群,许莹,2013.安徽省一季稻生长气候适宜性评价指标的建立与试用[J].气象,39(1):88-93.
ZHANG Jianjun,MA Xiaoqun,XU Ying,2013.Establishment and Application of Growing Climatic Suitability Indicator of Single Cropping Rice in Anhui Province[J].Meteor Mon,39(1):88-93.