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气象:2010,36(5):12-20
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应用ATOVS资料和非对称Bogus资料对登陆台风韦帕的4DVAR数值模拟分析
(解放军理工大学气象学院, 南京 211101)
4DVAR Numerical Simulation Analysis Using ATOVS Data and Asymmetrical Bogus Data on Landing Typhoon Weipha
(Institute of Meteorology, PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 211101)
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投稿时间:2009-05-23    修订日期:2009-11-19
中文摘要: 前人研究中BDA方法采用的轴对称Bogus台风不能反映个别台风具体特征并弃掉了背景场的合理成分,也没有考虑大环境场的影响及湿热要素的同化。因此,提出一种充分融合分析场信息和实际观测信息并考虑副高影响的精细非对称台风Bogus方法, 并在MM5的伴随同化系统中引入快速辐射传输模式RTTOV8,通过四维变分同化(4DVAR)技术,加入海面风场和气压场Bogus资料及多颗卫星多条轨道上的ATOVS红外和微波卫星辐射亮温资料并考虑Noah陆面过程方案来对登陆台风韦帕进行数值模拟,结果表明,单独同化海面Bogus资料的BDA方案可间接产生初始场非对称三维环流结构和暖心结构,但对湿度场及台风周围大环境场的调整不足,台风登陆后的路径预报改善也不明显;引入陆面过程方案弥补了Bogus资料对台风登陆后路径预报的不足;加入ATOVS资料能对湿度场及台风周围环境场做出调整,重构了大量中尺度结构信息,取得更为精细的初始台风环流和温压湿场结构,保持BDA方案路径及强度预报的优势的同时,使预报的降水强度增加,降水落区发生改变。
Abstract:An axisymmetric Bogus vortex at sea level was used in the traditional bogus data assimilation (BDA) scheme. This vortex could not accurately describe the specific characteristics of the typhoon. The reasonable elements of the background field were discarded. And, the assimilation of thermal and humidity elements, and the impact of the large scale environment, were not taken into account. Thus, an asymmetrical typhoon bogus method with blend information from the analysis and the observation is brought forward while the impact of the subtropical anticyclone is considered as well. Then the fast radiative transfer model RTTOV8 is planted into the adjoint model of the fifth generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) to assimilate the brightness temperature and Bogus data based on the four dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) technique. A group of BDA experiments on landing typhoon “Weipha” for 48 hour simulation are studied. The Bogus sea level wind and pressure, and the multi satellite and multi orbital ATOVS data are assimilated. The Noah land surface model is employed in simulation. The results show that, the BDA scheme which assimilates Bogus data alone transmits the Bogus information from the sea surface to high layers, and an asymmetrical three dimensional circulation assorted with the model is brought out, the temperature is indirectly adjusted in whole layers, and a warm core structure is strengthened. Whereas, the adjusting of humidity is deficient, the environmental fields outside the typhoon area cannot be adjusted well, and the improvement of track forecast is not obvious while the intensity forecast is greatly improved; The employment of Noah land surface model can improve the track forecast after landing; When ATOVS data are assimilated, significant adjustments are made on the humidity condition and environmental fields, lots of mesoscale information is reconfigured, more precise typhoon circulation and more precise thermal and humidity structure in the initial field is obtained. And the advantage of BDA scheme in track and intensity forecast is maintained, the precipitation intensity in forecast is increasing, and the precipitation location is changed.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目10871099、40805046、40830958,公益性行业(气象)专项课题(GYH(QX)2007 6 15),国家重点基础研究发展规划项目(973)课题 (2009CB421502)共同资助
引用文本:
袁炳,费建芳,王云峰,卢强,2010.应用ATOVS资料和非对称Bogus资料对登陆台风韦帕的4DVAR数值模拟分析[J].气象,36(5):12-20.
YUAN Bing,FEI Jianfang,WANG Yunfeng,LU Qiang,2010.4DVAR Numerical Simulation Analysis Using ATOVS Data and Asymmetrical Bogus Data on Landing Typhoon Weipha[J].Meteor Mon,36(5):12-20.