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气象:2010,36(4):30-36
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江西大雪天气的时空变化及其影响系统分析
(江西省气象台, 南昌 330046)
Analyses on the Space Time Distribution Characteristics and Their Influence Systems of Heavy Snow in Jiangxi
(Jiangxi Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Nanchang 330046)
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投稿时间:2009-02-10    修订日期:2009-10-10
中文摘要: 利用NCEP2.5°×2.5°再分析资料和常规观测资料,对1980—2008年江西省50次区域性大雪过程的时空变化及其影响系统进行归纳分析,得出:江西省大雪发生频次具有5年左右振荡周期,20世纪90年代以前发生大雪次数较多,变化幅度大,20世纪90年代以后年际变化减小。空间分布上,自西北向东南出现大雪的频次逐渐减少。大雪期间,阻塞高压、中低纬锋区异常强盛;80%的大雪天气存在阻塞高压,以贝加尔湖阻塞高压最多;70%受南支槽影响;700 hPa切变线是对流层中低层的主要影响系统,其南侧西南急流最大风速达16 m·s-1以上,雪区位于冷式切变线以南1~3个纬距内,或暖式切变附近;当850 hPa和700 hPa同时存在切变线时,降雪天气更加明显;对流层中低层有98%的大雪天气存在逆温:1000 hPa温度<1 ℃,925~850 hPa温度≤-2 ℃,700 hPa温度≤0 ℃;地面冷空气多为中路,蒙古冷高压异常强大。
Abstract:Based on NCEP 2.5°×2.5°reanalyzed data and daily observation data, the characteristics of climatic situation and influencing systems of 50 regional heavy snow events in Jiangxi from 1980 to 2008 were summarized and analyzed. The results show that: The heavy snow events in Jiangxi had a period of about 5 years. Before the 1990s, heavy snow events happened often and had large variations. Afterwards, the interannual variations tended to occur less frequently. As to the spatial variation, the frequency of heavy snow was characterized by the distribution of gradually reducing from the northwest to the southeast. During heavy snow periods, the blocking high and the frontal zone in mid low latitudes were extremely powerful. The 80% heavy snow events were associated with blocking high, most of which were Baikal Lake blocking highs. While 70% of the events were associated with the south branch trough. Most heavy snow events were associated with shear lines at 700 hPa. And there was significant southwest jet with an over 16 m·s-1axis at the south of it. Normally, the snowing region was 1-3 degrees in latitudes south of a cold shear line or at the neighborhood of a warm shear line. If there was a shear line at 850 hPa simultaneously, the snow would be heavier. The 98% of the events were accompanied by inversion layers in the troposphere. The vertical distribution of temperature was characterized by <1 ℃ at 1000 hPa, ≤-2 ℃ at 925-850 hPa and ≤0 ℃ at 700 hPa. Mostly, the surface cold air was from the middle area where an extremely strong Mongolia cold high offered a favorable condition for snowfall.
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基金项目:中国气象局新技术推广项目“冻雨、大雪预报方法研发与技术推广”(基金编号:CMATG2009MS03);江西省气象局重点项目“江西冻雨、大雪、冰冻预报方法研究”资助
引用文本:
郑婧,许爱华,刘波,许彬,2010.江西大雪天气的时空变化及其影响系统分析[J].气象,36(4):30-36.
ZHENG Jing,XU Aihua,LIU Bo,XU Bin,2010.Analyses on the Space Time Distribution Characteristics and Their Influence Systems of Heavy Snow in Jiangxi[J].Meteor Mon,36(4):30-36.